If Jorgenson is better than Roglic from now on, then he would probably have been a better investment than Roglic. And noone is claiming that Roglic at 5M was the best possible investment at the time. Most likely not - only one investment per year is the best possible investment and it could very well be that last year it was Jorgenson.Jorgenson has a better season than Roglic at the moment.
However, claiming that 5M should buy you a TdF victory, is wrong. If it was that simple, anyone could do it.... It's not like when they were making a purchase Roglic was the man to beat in TdF. This year, Roglic's performance is in line with his performance in the previous years, corrected for the effect of changing a team.
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