Lombardia podium >> Piemonte win. And Piemonte win isn't easy by any stretch. He's struggled with the Stomp since Catalunya,
If he makes the podium yes, but I think is more realistic a place between 5th and 9th than a podium, not because prime/decline reason just becuase I think he'll take a risk and go full throttle on the Ganda Pass to be in the fight and he'll explode a bit if he has to chase with Remco for example.
Regarding Piemonte, you may be right, but with those 2-3 km at 9% that will be done twice, I think the UAE can turn it into a sort of 180 km mountain stage. I think without Remco, Pidock, and obviously Pogi, only Roglic (if he were to race) could keep up with Del Toro, and he wouldn't be the favorite in a sprint, but you never know, the Volta sprint might appear on a less demanding day like today.
By the way, keep an eye on Lorenzo Finn today, taking over Primoz's role...