There were a few posts that were stating that Rog is able to make his own racing schedule and JV are always in support, but it seems more and more to me that that is not the case. A tired rider who does not want to race in June and July does not kinda indicate that he might do some races during those months, but rather he plainly says no I will not be racing. Also, the non-definite responses Rog gave reinforce this.
I believe JV are utterly ridiculous if they think they can beat a healthy Pog with Jonas. Jonas, of course, deserves a shot to defend his title, but without Rog, Jonas will have to do all the work by himself. And I do not believe he could do it. People might say but there is Wout, but Wout will probably race the way he did the last two editions and thus he will be useless in the first week for the GC guys.
In conclusion, if I am right and Rog wants to do the TdF but he is not allowed by the team, I believe he might feel betrayed by his team. Let us see if this is true but if it is a change of teams should not be out of the question. I am sure we all want to see Rog at the TdF.