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so your concerns are epistemological (is that a neologism of mine or legit word?). can we have the philosophers enter to give be some academy appeal to authority? cos we do have a few philosophers, they post in the politics thread in the general sub-forum.wendybnt said:Have you been smoking, BC?
Armstrong's sophisticated doping programme was caught without a positive test I happen to think that Froome's day will come too, sooner or later. I think that, but I don't know it. I think it won't be via a positive test either. Retrospective testing years later or a leak maybe. A drunken/stoned angry maltweet from Bradley, who knows. I don't know this, but I think it.
blackcat said:so your concerns are epistemological (is that a neologism of mine or legit word?). can we have the philosophers enter to give be some academy appeal to authority? cos we do have a few philosophers, they post in the politics thread in the general sub-forum.wendybnt said:Have you been smoking, BC?
Armstrong's sophisticated doping programme was caught without a positive test I happen to think that Froome's day will come too, sooner or later. I think that, but I don't know it. I think it won't be via a positive test either. Retrospective testing years later or a leak maybe. A drunken/stoned angry maltweet from Bradley, who knows. I don't know this, but I think it.
I think Contador and Valverde can create enough doubt and muddy the waters, and recruit Arnie Baker and Dave Brower with some Trust But Verify Nixon talking points. no, think it is Trust But Verify Reagan talking points.
I approve this message, still, I think, Wendy will come up with a good reply, he always does.No_Balls said:Froome is not "probably" the most suspicious at "the moment". He is the most suspicious in the history of cycling since 2012 winner and former teammate Bradley Wiggins. We have many odd figures in cycling who have rocketed a couple of seasons but none coming from virtually nowhere to win Tour de France twice. In post-Lance era he is the ultimate spat in the face. Probably here to serve triple roles as Ruperts homeboy, a social experiment on how much cycling fan could endure and a posterboy for the chemical industries how talentless you could be and win with chemicals. I have not ruled out that this is some form of live reality show like "biggest loser" turned winner either.
wendybnt said:I don't think any philosophers would validate claims on here to know of Froome's doping. If they did then Edmund Gettier would put them in their place.
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blackcat said:wendybnt said:I don't think any philosophers would validate claims on here to know of Froome's doping. If they did then Edmund Gettier would put them in their place.
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thought experiment. Did Betsy know that Lance doped to win the Tour before Tygart handed down his "reasoned decision"?
Your answer would be "no" on my analysis of your position. remember two sentences above, did Betsy Andreu, before Tygart?
Why did Tygart know?
What gives Tygart the authority to enable my knowledge?
If Betsy told me before Tygart handed down his reason decision that USADA WADA and the US Legal System and the Amaury Sport Organisation validated, if Betsy told me before this was ratified, was it possible for me to know? So what was the interruption of my knowledge that Betsy could not transfer her knowledge to me?
wendybnt said:If you can find an equivalent person for Froome then we could say we 'know'. As it stands, what we have is somebody with a highly suspicious sudden improvement.
Lyon said:How can we be sure even Armstrong used drugs? After all, we only have his word for it - all the rest is just innuendo and slander from sore losers, as established on these forums a number of times. And I wouldn't trust a known drug user like Armstrong.
No, you cant, thats why you enlisted on this forum. And, we love you for doing so buddy, again.wendybnt said:Look, I can't watch Froome without thinking he is almost certainly dope assisted. But The 'almost' needs to be there.
Brilliant. Quoting so the Skyborgs have to see it again.Lyon said:How can we be sure even Armstrong used drugs? After all, we only have his word for it - all the rest is just innuendo and slander from sore losers, as established on these forums a number of times. And I wouldn't trust a known drug user like Armstrong.
Taxus4a said:---------------------------------------------Gung Ho Gun said:There is a difference between being sure and being able to prove something
When someone is obviously drunk, you don't say "well I suspect he's drunk, but until I get my hands on a blood test I can't be certain about it"
Nope, you know
Just like some people know that riders x and y are doped
It was the case of Santambroglio, all the world inside cycling knew that, but he need to be proven anyway.
But is not the case of SKY or any of his members.
Taxus4a said:To finish your first GT, the most difficult one, leTour, like this:
http://www.cqranking.com/men/asp/gen/race.asp?raceid=8024
Taxus4a said:Better explanation for that 41 for Froome that year is he was 3 days with the group after a solo counter attack. He could pay that effort compared other riders that reserved for the ITT.
As was Edvald Boasson HagenBYOP88 said:Taxus4a said:To finish your first GT, the most difficult one, leTour, like this:
http://www.cqranking.com/men/asp/gen/race.asp?raceid=8024
Taxus4a said:Better explanation for that 41 for Froome that year is he was 3 days with the group after a solo counter attack. He could pay that effort compared other riders that reserved for the ITT.
If you look at Froome's overall Tour he saved himself to try at select stages and coasted in others and finished in the autobus(check the results on the day before that ITT and the alpe D'Huez stage he finished in the autobus) he also finished last on the final stage, I'm guessing he was sightseeing during that stage.
Oh Mollema is a guy who started cycling at a 'late age' but he had some good results early on, unlike Froome.
No_Balls said:wendybnt said:Disagree. None of you know, even if you pretend that you do. By all means voice your suspicions of Froome, and I'll willingly join in with you because I think Froome is a cheater, but 'know'? No sorry, not one of us here knows as a certainty, regardless of how highly you might value your own opinion. We 'know' Contador and Valverde doped, that is a certainty, but we don't yet know about Froome, even though he is probably the most suspicious rider at the moment. We may never know.
That 'heads I win, tails you win' logic works both ways, and it favours the sceptics because you can't prove somebody is clean.
People who have seen it all and followed the sport for many years know the signs. People says they know because they haven't been wrong this far. The eye-test is simply the best judge, everything else is fairytales for beliebers in dire need of a national hero.
wendybnt said:Disagree. None of you know, even if you pretend that you do.
Lyon said:How can we be sure even Armstrong used drugs? After all, we only have his word for it - all the rest is just innuendo and slander from sore losers, as established on these forums a number of times. And I wouldn't trust a known drug user like Armstrong.
It is exactly the same thing though. It is not absolutely certain that Lance doped, there are other possible explanations as Lyon points out. They are just so improbable that we judge them as ridiculous. It is not certain that Valverde and Contador doped (some people believe they didnt), you say you 'know' because the other explanations are too improbable for you to be considered. Similarly for many people here, including myself, the other explanations for Froome going from Andrey Zeits-level to 2x Tour winner are also too improbable to be valid. You may have a different threshold or judge the evidence differently. You may put more stock in opinions and stories of other people, or in UCI testing, or climbing times and opinions of scientists, or ... whereas I put more stock in analogies with past situations and my own perception of his riding and his interviews. You may not know if he dopes or you may even know that he doesnt. I can still know that he does.wendybnt said:Lyon said:How can we be sure even Armstrong used drugs? After all, we only have his word for it - all the rest is just innuendo and slander from sore losers, as established on these forums a number of times. And I wouldn't trust a known drug user like Armstrong.
There is obviously so much wrong with that post, you might as well delete it. But then you know that
In the meantime, are you really sure you want to bring up the 'because Lance' meme in a discussion of Froome?
I can give you oath sworn testimony of numerous USPS/Discovery teammates.
All you can bring is 'he's riding faster than when he was 25'
Look, I can't watch Froome without thinking he is almost certainly dope assisted. But The 'almost' needs to be there.
Lyon said:How can we be sure even Armstrong used drugs? After all, we only have his word for it - all the rest is just innuendo and slander from sore losers, as established on these forums a number of times. And I wouldn't trust a known drug user like Armstrong.
Gung Ho Gun said:It is exactly the same thing though. It is not absolutely certain that Lance doped, there are other possible explanations as Lyon points out. They are just so improbable that we judge them as ridiculous. It is not certain that Valverde and Contador doped (some people believe they didnt), you say you 'know' because the other explanations are too improbable for you to be considered. Similarly for many people here, including myself, the other explanations for Froome going from Andrey Zeits-level to 2x Tour winner are also too improbable to be valid. You may have a different threshold or judge the evidence differently. You may put more stock in opinions and stories of other people, or in UCI testing, or climbing times and opinions of scientists, or ... whereas I put more stock in analogies with past situations and my own perception of his riding and his interviews. You may not know if he dopes or you may even know that he doesnt. I can still know that he does.wendybnt said:Lyon said:How can we be sure even Armstrong used drugs? After all, we only have his word for it - all the rest is just innuendo and slander from sore losers, as established on these forums a number of times. And I wouldn't trust a known drug user like Armstrong.
There is obviously so much wrong with that post, you might as well delete it. But then you know that
In the meantime, are you really sure you want to bring up the 'because Lance' meme in a discussion of Froome?
I can give you oath sworn testimony of numerous USPS/Discovery teammates.
All you can bring is 'he's riding faster than when he was 25'
Look, I can't watch Froome without thinking he is almost certainly dope assisted. But The 'almost' needs to be there.
I mainly wanted to point out that it is the same thought process, knowing Froome doped or knowing Contador doped. Knowing is always subjective to some degree. I won't argue the fact that the evidence that Contador doped in the past, is stronger than the evidence that Froome dopes now. But the 'almost' certain should 'almost always' be there if we're getting really pedantic. So why make a point of it.
wendybnt said:Because it isnt certain. It is almost certain (in my opinion), but not certain. It is no biggie, and everybody can think what they want. It seems to have hit a nerve with a few people. Maybe they are confusing 'almost certain' with 'definitely not' . Certainly not worth bickering over.
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