JRanton said:
Is it really that bad? Normally the Pais Vasco parcours is excellent.
Yes. It's dreadful. You know how last year everyone had a group ride up Arrate and then it was won in the ITT? It's kind of like that, only the other stages are even worse, and the ITT is less technical.
There's a "mountaintop finish" on Ibardin, which is 5% if we're being generous for 6km, and Arrate, and that's it. If we're lucky we'll see attacks on stage 2 on the Puerto de Vitória, but it's pretty shallow, not steep at all, so I wouldn't expect anything that will give the TTers any trouble. Stage 3 is Arrate, Stage 4 is Ibardin, and doesn't really have any hard mountains before it either - a few climbs but a long period of rolling terrain before the final climb, so it'll come down to the last 2km when the ramps actually get halfway interesting, Stage 5 isn't much more than a flat stage, and the ITT is pancake flat. No typical Basque walls, only one real concerted climbing stage, and I envisage the whole lot of those contenders being on the same time until the ITT unless Arrate is raced much, much more aggressively than it has been the last couple of years. Ibardin will be a sprint of 15-20, and that's best case scenario. I fully expect Valverde vs. Gerrans, round 3, on this finish. There's no Aia-like stage 5 where contenders can make up time ahead of the TT either. I could actually see Francesco Gavazzi winning 3, maybe even 4 stages here, depending on Allan Davis' and Ángel Vicioso's climbing legs.
Absolutely pathetic. I'm glad the race hasn't died, and was desperate to see it survive... but the best thing I can say about this parcours is that it exists.