Giro 2017, stage 10: Foligno - Montefalco 39,8km (ITT)

[Pantani_lives]

Dumoulin
Nibali 1'20
Pinot 1'30
Quintana 2'00
Mollema 2'10
Pozzovivo 2'40

 

[May0maniac]

Wind could be a factor, the forecast is NE wind with an average speed of 24km/h and gusts of wind up to 42-43km/h.

 

[Red Rick]

A lot depends on Quintana's TT'ing. He's not done many TT's this year, and last year he was very good outside GTs but still sucked a bit in GTs. You could blame the Tour TTs on bad form, but the Vuelta wasn't too good.

Dumoulin absolutely has to crush this if he wants a chance of a miracle. If Quintana stays within 1'30 and 1'00 of Pinot, I think it's game over.

 

[Red Rick]

Re:

Wind could be a factor, the forecast is NE wind with an average speed of 24km/h and gusts of wind up to 42-43km/h.

Closed wheels gonna be an issue?

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Re:

Dumoulin
Nibali 1'20
Pinot 1'30
Quintana 2'00
Mollema 2'10
Pozzovivo 2'40

I'd actually put Mollema a lot higher on the order after the Tour ITT last year. Similar ITT.

 

[Zinoviev Letter]

Re:

We can only hope that Quintana has a disastrous TT and gets crucified by Dumoulin and also walloped by Pinot, Mosllema and Nibali. I've nothing against Nairo, but if he does well the Giro is over as a race already.

 

[sir fly]

Re:

Wind could be a factor, the forecast is NE wind with an average speed of 24km/h and gusts of wind up to 42-43km/h.

Let's hope.

 

[Krokro]

Re: Re:

We can only hope that Quintana has a disastrous TT and gets crucified by Dumoulin and also walloped by Pinot, Mosllema and Nibali. I've nothing against Nairo, but if he does well the Giro is over as a race already.

Thats brutal but for the sake of Il Cento it would be the best scenario! Lets hope Nairito loses 3/4min on TD and Pinot (not sure if its realistic tho)

 

[BullsFan22]

I hoped that one of my outsiders, well, in my opinion he is still a strong outsider, Zakarin, would not lose 2 minutes as he did today, but I still have high hopes for him. There are still mountain stages to climb and he is a good ITT rider. What can we expect from him in this ITT test? Can he claw some time back on guys like Pinot, Nibbles, Mollema? I've excluded Dumoulin because, well, for obvious reasons, Dumoulin is definitely the favorite to win the ITT and put time on a good amount of time on everyone, and I also excluded Quintana because I don't really see Zakarin challenging Quintana for the win, but mostly for a place on the podium. Who knows, maybe it's already a two horse race.

I think some are underrating Nibali. He can turn a very good result at any given ITT and why not in Montefalco? I think he can finish in the top 10 of this stage, maybe more, if he is in solid form, but who knows if he is. He stayed with Quintana for a while, but blew up a bit, then stabilized. I don't expect him to lost too much in the ITT. Maybe I am wrong. I also think that some are overrating Pinot. He isn't a bad ITT rider obviously, but he can be beat by the likes of Nibali, Zakarin and Mollema. Not to mention Jungels, Pozzovivo and Kriuswijk, though none of these guys were especially impressive today.

 

[42x16ss]

Re: Re:

Wind could be a factor, the forecast is NE wind with an average speed of 24km/h and gusts of wind up to 42-43km/h.

Closed wheels gonna be an issue?

The likes of Dumoulin and Kiriyenka should be ok with a disc, but with the forecast wind and the profile the others will probably be best to avoid them.

 

[portugal11]

Big tom will put 3 minutes on quintana

 

[deValtos]

Headwind (good for dumo) or tailwind (good for nairo)?

 

[BullsFan22]

Re: Re:

We can only hope that Quintana has a disastrous TT and gets crucified by Dumoulin and also walloped by Pinot, Mosllema and Nibali. I've nothing against Nairo, but if he does well the Giro is over as a race already.

Gosh, that's a little harsh! I certainly don't wish a 'disastrous' TT on anyone! What I do hope is that Dumoulin and Quintana have great TT's, but that Dumoulin gets 2+ minutes on him, making the second half of the Giro much more interesting where Quintana has to attack and Dumoulin has to respond. Plus the last TT should be fascinating if the gap is 1:30 or so in Quintana's favor.

The closer the race is between as many riders is good for the organizers and fans.

 

[sir fly]

Re:

Headwind (good for dumo) or tailwind (good for nairo)?

They'll be having the both.
It's just a matter of the portion size.

 

[portugal11]

A headwind would be perfect to tom. I'm just hoping for a tailwind in the final climb

 

[Tank Engine]

Tom D to rule this. Jungels to make a bit of a recovery.

 

[Carols]

Major Tom to take Pink and 2+ minutes on Nairo. Nibali is a mystery, hopefully he doesn't lose more than 1:00 but that might be asking a lot.

 

[spiritualride]

Blockhaus is so difficult and steep... Tom was so strong on that climb that I think he will crush it in this ITT and beat Quintana by over 2m30s. Which will set up a great battle in the Alps as an aggressive Quintana attacks Tom on at least four stages

 

[wirral]

I didn't realise Van Emden was at this Giro.

 

[DNP-Old]

This CRI is very reminiscent of the one we had in '14, when the likes of Pozzovivo and Brambilla somehow managed to top 10.

 

[Malmeren]

Are any of the GC men likely to have an off day after the rest day?

 

[Alexandre B.]

Re:

Are any of the GC men likely to have an off day after the rest day?

Tejay

 

[StryderHells]

I think some are underrating Nibali. He can turn a very good result at any given ITT and why not in Montefalco? I think he can finish in the top 10 of this stage, maybe more, if he is in solid form, but who knows if he is. He stayed with Quintana for a while, but blew up a bit, then stabilized. I don't expect him to lost too much in the ITT. Maybe I am wrong. I also think that some are overrating Pinot. He isn't a bad ITT rider obviously, but he can be beat by the likes of Nibali, Zakarin and Mollema. Not to mention Jungels, Pozzovivo and Kriuswijk, though none of these guys were especially impressive today.

I don't think people are overrating Pinot, outside of the flat TT at Tirreno he hasn't put in a bad TT since he improved on the TT bike in 2016. Also he did beat home a quality field in last years Romandie including some of the main GC guys he's going up against in this race, I don't think he can win this TT but he should be beat home most of his true GC rivals outside of Dumoulin.

 

[RattaKuningas]

I hope that Kangert does well because TTs like this should suit him. He finished 7th yesterday so he is in good form and should be able to move into top 10 after this time trial.

 

[alexix7]

Dumo to destroy everyone. Those tiny, not steep climbs really suits him. Pinot at 1:30. Mollema at 2:15. Nibs at 2:40 and Nairo at 2:30 for sure.