Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia stage 19 Biella – Champoluc 166km

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I don't think Carapaz has off-days deep in GTs often. He cracked trying to follow Hindelys once, but that was like a 20 minutes effort where he had no other choice but to hang on and over extended. As far as I can remember he is pretty consistent when he is in contention deep in GTs.
I think he was 4th from the GC group that day despite cracking hard.

My pet theory is still that Carapaz is mostly a climber who likes 7-9% gradients but not the super steep stuff.
 
Since we're in the mountains, I would like to see more goats tomorrow.
Waiting for the Tour to see a real 🐐.
Del Toro, Carapaz and Yates will mark each other. Pellizzari will ride away, gain minutes and take pink.
He won't take 5 minutes on a single stage. But if he is able to take back at least 2 minutes on stage 19 to all of the top 3, he can go full Vroome on stage 20 and grab the pink jersey.

This stage is massive and the gaps should be totally enormous. I don't buy GC action on the last climb only...
 
I think del Toro will lose pink. I notice this quote in the preview:-
I just don't want to suffer too much


Maybe a break wins this but I'll pick Carapaz to take pink - maybe on Col de Joux. Not super steep but it's a 15km grind after three big climbs that have come before. This Giro is shaping up as Carapaz's possible redemption for 2022. We will see.
 
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I think Toro and UAE are very lucky that Baroncini and Arrieta are going well at the moment.

They will need those guys to survive at least until the a certain part of the Pantaleon to have some support left on the Joux for del Toro.

If Yates, Majka and Mcnulty can start the joux relatively easy that could bring some advantages to Del Toro.
 
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I agree with previous posters about Torito losing the pink tomorrow. The long, steep mountains, by his merits, are not yet conquered, even in this field, there are better pure climbers, still. This stage is perfectly suited for teams to crack lesser pure climbers on paper more so than Finestre stage, but I doubt any team has the strength to make him suffer throughout and bulldoze every mountain throughout the entire stage.

We’re entering into a fistfight with bare knuckles, nothing wrong with that.
 
I don't think Carapaz has off-days deep in GTs often. He cracked trying to follow Hindelys once, but that was like a 20 minutes effort where he had no other choice but to hang on and over extended. As far as I can remember he is pretty consistent when he is in contention deep in GTs.
He had a crappy performance in Pog's 2020 Tour Stage 20 (Plateau of Three Daughters-in-law) ITT win, but you could perhaps put that down to his TT-ing more than his recovery ability?
 
I think Toro and UAE are very lucky that Baroncini and Arrieta are going well at the moment.

They will need those guys to survive at least until the a certain part of the Pantaleon to have some support left on the Joux for del Toro.

If Yates, Majka and Mcnulty can start the joux relatively easy that could bring some advantages to Del Toro.
Regardless, he's going to need to bring his big-boy pantaleons to keep pink.