The Cycling News forum is looking to add some volunteer moderators with Red Rick's recent retirement. If you're interested in helping keep our discussions on track, send a direct message to
In the meanwhile, please use the Report option if you see a post that doesn't fit within the forum rules.
Thanks!
To put Luisle or Cortina in the late move, or to wait last lap and go with Valverde. It's a good team.
**** *Alaphilippe, Gilbert
****Sagan, Van der Poel
***Evenepoel, Matthews, Trentin
**Stybar, Asgreen, Van Avermaet, Fuglsang
*Roglic, Pogacar, Valverde, Politt, Bettiol, Jungels
EDIT: When I type 5 stars it's automatically changed into one star, so I had to put in a space.
It's interesting that a lot of people seem to think the circuit is going to be selective, or at least seem to from their picks. There's a max height gain of about 70m on Cornwall Road, the Otley Road climb basically isn't a climb I would think and the ramp up Parliament Street doesn't look anywhere near enough to favour guys like Alaphilippe and Gilbert. Might be hard for local cat4 riders but the pros will hit it at 50+kph and it'll be done before they notice.
Hardest bit if going to be dealing with the narrow roads and tight turns, that oxbow section via Swan Road and Crescent Road looks perfect for a nasty crash if the bunch hasn't thinned much. Does anyone know if they're removing the traffic islands at the Junction of Crescent Road and the A61 (Parliament Street)? There's two there which could easily cause some problems.
I think even if it's raced hard it's going to be one for riders like Sagan, VDP, Matthews, Trentin, Van Avermaet etc. If it's fairly neutral I wouldn't at all be surprised if a couple of sprinters made it to the line in the front bunch.
Guys like Bennett and Ackermann will need dragged there, but an in form Matthews, Sagan, Kristoff, VDP type rider that can hold their own in (and even win) Fleche, Amstel, Flanders etc. I can see sticking with a group no problem. If that happens then it might make the race easier and some of the more able sprinters could find themselves back in contention.I think there are 2 factors at play:
First, there are quite a few quality teams, that prefer to not ferry sprinters like Sagan, Ackermann, Trentin, Matthews & Kristoff all the way to the finish line in a big group.
Teams like France, Belgium, Spain, Slovenia and Denmark, will all be interested in making the race as hard as possible, to create early selection.
Secondly, from what I have read various riders say about the route, it's not that the hills are long and hard, it's that they mostly start at a tight corner, which means you begin from a virtual stand still - and they just keep coming and coming and coming.
Guys like Bennett and Ackermann will need dragged there, but an in form Matthews, Sagan, Kristoff, VDP type rider that can hold their own in (and even win) Fleche, Amstel, Flanders etc. I can see sticking with a group no problem. If that happens then it might make the race easier and some of the more able sprinters could find themselves back in contention.
The course provides and interesting canvas, but I'm not convinced it's selective enough for what many hope.
Making the fast guys chase means other people being willing to let the medals slip out of their hands. We'll see how it plays out, I guess I just don't have as much hope as many here do.
If the weather is bad it'll be a very different ball game.
It's interesting that a lot of people seem to think the circuit is going to be selective, or at least seem to from their picks. There's a max height gain of about 70m on Cornwall Road, the Otley Road climb basically isn't a climb I would think and the ramp up Parliament Street doesn't look anywhere near enough to favour guys like Alaphilippe and Gilbert. Might be hard for local cat4 riders but the pros will hit it at 50+kph and it'll be done before they notice.
Hardest bit if going to be dealing with the narrow roads and tight turns, that oxbow section via Swan Road and Crescent Road looks perfect for a nasty crash if the bunch hasn't thinned much. Does anyone know if they're removing the traffic islands at the Junction of Crescent Road and the A61 (Parliament Street)? There's two there which could easily cause some problems.
I think even if it's raced hard it's going to be one for riders like Sagan, VDP, Matthews, Trentin, Van Avermaet etc. If it's fairly neutral I wouldn't at all be surprised if a couple of sprinters made it to the line in the front bunch.
Yates was looking alright at the Canadian races to be fair, they could be useful to send up the road on the big climbs before the riders hit the circuit. They wouldn't have been my first choice though. It's strange that, apart from Swift, none of the Elite Men have seemed to target this at all. Riders like Luke Rowe and Chris Lawless should have been thinking about this course all year. Odd behaviour for a home nation's ridersNot really sure why Yates or TGH are there to be honest.
**** *Alaphilippe, Gilbert
****Sagan, Van der Poel
***Evenepoel, Matthews, Trentin
**Stybar, Asgreen, Van Avermaet, Fuglsang, Lutsenko
*Roglic, Pogacar, Valverde, Politt, Bettiol, Jungels
EDIT: When I type 5 stars it's automatically changed into one star, so I had to put in a space.
Yeah, I can see that, I just don't think it's enough to bring guys like Gil/Ala/Valv about the likes of Matthews/VPD/Sagan. Maybe if they make the race really, really hard...Aye, I think people are think about accumulative ascents, not just the circuit. The people like GVA, Sagan etc will try and put repetitive digs in on Pot Bank, after several hours of racing on heavy Yorkshire roads then that climb (which they have resurfaced part of it) will take it's toll.
The weather needs to be bad.If the weather is bad it'll be a very different ball game.