rzombie1988
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- Jul 19, 2009
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I was talking more about Contador vs Evans. Andy vs Cadel comes down to how much time can Andy gain on Cadel in the mountains and how much time will he lose in the TT.
Thoughts on Andy vs others:
Contador - Won't beat him. Even if he beats Contador somehow in the mountains, it's not going to be enough when it comes to the TT. However, no one beats Contador at his best.
Evans - I would usually pick Andy over Cadel but with the lack of big mountain stages this year, Cadel could hang on again. I don't think he's going to be able to get enough time over him in the mountains and I don't think Contador's going to need to attack as much, which will hurt Andy(since he only follows Contador).
Menchov - If Menchov doesn't lose time for stupid reasons on the easy stages, I'll take Menchov above him. It's such a shame that Menchov didn't get in last years Tour as he would have had a good chance. I'm sure he would have lost time with everyone else though in the beginning.
Wiggins - I think he can beat Wiggins, but it depends on which Wiggins shows up. Last year's Wiggins looked great, but Andy has beaten Wiggo all the other times.
Samu - I really like Samu, but I'm waiting for him to hit his full potential. I think Andy should be able to beat him.
So yeah, I'm looking at Andy around 4th-6th depending on the circumstances. I used to be a little bit of an Andy supporter, but his lack of TT improvements, his questionable tactics and his mouth has changed things.
I should note that I'm expecting alot of the big names to stick together in a bunch this year. If someone can get a big breakaway in the early stages, they might be able to hang on with a decent TT performance.
Thoughts on Andy vs others:
Contador - Won't beat him. Even if he beats Contador somehow in the mountains, it's not going to be enough when it comes to the TT. However, no one beats Contador at his best.
Evans - I would usually pick Andy over Cadel but with the lack of big mountain stages this year, Cadel could hang on again. I don't think he's going to be able to get enough time over him in the mountains and I don't think Contador's going to need to attack as much, which will hurt Andy(since he only follows Contador).
Menchov - If Menchov doesn't lose time for stupid reasons on the easy stages, I'll take Menchov above him. It's such a shame that Menchov didn't get in last years Tour as he would have had a good chance. I'm sure he would have lost time with everyone else though in the beginning.
Wiggins - I think he can beat Wiggins, but it depends on which Wiggins shows up. Last year's Wiggins looked great, but Andy has beaten Wiggo all the other times.
Samu - I really like Samu, but I'm waiting for him to hit his full potential. I think Andy should be able to beat him.
So yeah, I'm looking at Andy around 4th-6th depending on the circumstances. I used to be a little bit of an Andy supporter, but his lack of TT improvements, his questionable tactics and his mouth has changed things.
I should note that I'm expecting alot of the big names to stick together in a bunch this year. If someone can get a big breakaway in the early stages, they might be able to hang on with a decent TT performance.
