Who knows. What I do know though is that when Jumbo saying he wont attend unless 100%, its a load of bull, because there's no chance in hell he will make it to 100% in time. He might reach 85%-90%, and then it gets interesting in terms of if you think he will improve further throughout the race or the opposite.
Because Jonas at 85-90% can definitely win the Tour if he gets better throughout. There are question marks about all his rivals, crashes happen, Pogi can get sick etc. etc.
It should rather be: We don't send him to the Tour unless we think he has a realistic shot at the victory. All this other stuff is just PR-bull