Tonton said:
If someone can dial in for anything, Nibali for a Giro is a given IMO. And the 100th...a shot at immortality. He too never believed that Dumoulin could pull it, that Quintana is a lesser ITT performer, played it conservative, nowing that a move on the stage 16 descent could be enough to ice the cake.
I don't believe in all the excuses for Nibali and Quintana.I think that Dumoulin was really good, they missed their opportunities.Mared each other: stages 18-19 show it afaik.
The argument about the lack of love for Quintana is a joke: most want Froome to lose, he was and may still be the only hope.
I believe in Dumoulin. Quintana? 2018 will be huge for him. One way or the other...
The reason I'm hesitant of Dumoulin and believe top shape Quintana way more is that Dumoulin hasn't been proven against the #1 GT competitive tactic of this era - being the train. And I don't think we will see that proven even in this year Giro. NQ has proved he can win stages even against the train.
In last year Giro it was really man against man, where Nibs and NQ had to make the time against Tom alone and they were not in shape to do that. Tom paced himself perfectly to limit losses, but I do not think his reserves to pace himself to train level speed on multi 10km climb on a stage and in consecutive stages is enough. He would have to constantly glimb on his steady pace limit or even above it and I feel he would be dropped like a stone eventually. I guess that is one of the reasons why he selected Giro for this year.
NQ on the other hand can't be dropped by anyone if in top shape. But he doesn't seem to really have the real kick anymore either to take off when really needed.
Tour this year will be really interesting because if Froome is not there, we might actually see some other team than Sky deploying train... thinking of
Bahrain with Izaguirre brothers, Delphino and Pozzo supporting Nibs. They will try to dry the powder of NQ and Landa.