Quintana tried the double once, and I'm pretty sure variability of performance is gonna be very big in Giro-Tour doubles.Koronin said:He did much worse in his attempt at the Giro/Tour double than both Contador and Valverde did in theirs at older ages. Contador 1st and 5th at age 32, Valverde 3rd and 6th in his attempt at age 36. Quintana 2nd and 14th at age 27. Considering this the fatigue argument is nothing more than an excuse. Oh and for Valverde may as well throw in his 12th at la Vuelta for his 3rd Grand Tour in one season attempt at age 36. That Vuelta was also his 5th Grand Tour in a row so Quintana claiming the 4 GTs is also an excuse after what Valverde did.
Koronin said:He did much worse in his attempt at the Giro/Tour double than both Contador and Valverde did in theirs at older ages. Contador 1st and 5th at age 32, Valverde 3rd and 6th in his attempt at age 36. Quintana 2nd and 14th at age 27. Considering this the fatigue argument is nothing more than an excuse. Oh and for Valverde may as well throw in his 12th at la Vuelta for his 3rd Grand Tour in one season attempt at age 36. That Vuelta was also his 5th Grand Tour in a row so Quintana claiming the 4 GTs is also an excuse after what Valverde did.
Angliru said:Koronin said:He did much worse in his attempt at the Giro/Tour double than both Contador and Valverde did in theirs at older ages. Contador 1st and 5th at age 32, Valverde 3rd and 6th in his attempt at age 36. Quintana 2nd and 14th at age 27. Considering this the fatigue argument is nothing more than an excuse. Oh and for Valverde may as well throw in his 12th at la Vuelta for his 3rd Grand Tour in one season attempt at age 36. That Vuelta was also his 5th Grand Tour in a row so Quintana claiming the 4 GTs is also an excuse after what Valverde did.
Valverde is Valverde. He's one of a kind. A generational talent. I personally think that it is a bit premature for the playing of taps on Quintana's grand tour career as many have been doing since his Tour performance (not necessarily you). He's 27 and had a podium at the Giro and disappointment at the Tour. I'm confident he will come back and prove many here wrong.
Son of Amsterhammer said:Do we know which races NQ is doing this year?
This Giro had warmer weather than usual, was tough, very tough down the stretch, it may have depleted NQ more than it did the others. Maybe.movingtarget said:Angliru said:Koronin said:He did much worse in his attempt at the Giro/Tour double than both Contador and Valverde did in theirs at older ages. Contador 1st and 5th at age 32, Valverde 3rd and 6th in his attempt at age 36. Quintana 2nd and 14th at age 27. Considering this the fatigue argument is nothing more than an excuse. Oh and for Valverde may as well throw in his 12th at la Vuelta for his 3rd Grand Tour in one season attempt at age 36. That Vuelta was also his 5th Grand Tour in a row so Quintana claiming the 4 GTs is also an excuse after what Valverde did.
Valverde is Valverde. He's one of a kind. A generational talent. I personally think that it is a bit premature for the playing of taps on Quintana's grand tour career as many have been doing since his Tour performance (not necessarily you). He's 27 and had a podium at the Giro and disappointment at the Tour. I'm confident he will come back and prove many here wrong.
The younger Quintana would never have been beaten by Dumoulin at the Giro. Many riders had success early in their careers only to see a drop off in the second half of their careers. Remains to be seen which one Quintana is but at the moment he is not doing as well as expected. But while Quintana is not winning, new GT talents are emerging on the scene. Now he can fully prepare for the Tour. He needs to regain his better climbing form, and there will be quite a few riders fancying their chances at the Tour especially if Froome doesn't show.
Tonton said:This Giro had warmer weather than usual, was tough, very tough down the stretch, it may have depleted NQ more than it did the others. Maybe.movingtarget said:Angliru said:Koronin said:He did much worse in his attempt at the Giro/Tour double than both Contador and Valverde did in theirs at older ages. Contador 1st and 5th at age 32, Valverde 3rd and 6th in his attempt at age 36. Quintana 2nd and 14th at age 27. Considering this the fatigue argument is nothing more than an excuse. Oh and for Valverde may as well throw in his 12th at la Vuelta for his 3rd Grand Tour in one season attempt at age 36. That Vuelta was also his 5th Grand Tour in a row so Quintana claiming the 4 GTs is also an excuse after what Valverde did.
Valverde is Valverde. He's one of a kind. A generational talent. I personally think that it is a bit premature for the playing of taps on Quintana's grand tour career as many have been doing since his Tour performance (not necessarily you). He's 27 and had a podium at the Giro and disappointment at the Tour. I'm confident he will come back and prove many here wrong.
The younger Quintana would never have been beaten by Dumoulin at the Giro. Many riders had success early in their careers only to see a drop off in the second half of their careers. Remains to be seen which one Quintana is but at the moment he is not doing as well as expected. But while Quintana is not winning, new GT talents are emerging on the scene. Now he can fully prepare for the Tour. He needs to regain his better climbing form, and there will be quite a few riders fancying their chances at the Tour especially if Froome doesn't show.
And yes, the younger Quintana could have lost to Dumoulin. Tactics. There were enough mountains to beat up on TD, but no one took the Dutch seriously. With the exception of the Blockhaus attack, Quintana rode like his usual self, conservative. Dumoulin didn't have the bad day that all predicted. Nibali blew himself up on the Blockhaus, NQ may have taken him for granted too. Quintana could have won, I believe. Had he switched his head with Contador's... The legs were fine IMO. What disappoints me the most is that he showed at the '16 Vuelta that he could attack, dish out pain, win. I feel that in '17 he reverted to his comfort zone in GTs: defensive riding.
I'm not ready to write him off just yet, but he needs a strong '18 campaign. With his program being what you all evoked, if true, only the TdF win can make him bounce back. 2nd place is not good (as we and Alberto know), he's been there, done that. Twice.
Nairo Quintana, aggressive, can win the '18 TdF. Survive week one, be strong in the Alps, take time at the AdH, murder everyone on the Portet.
Easy from the couch.
hrotha said:I agree with Tonton, Dumoulin was far from invincible at the Giro. They spared him a couple of times, poop aside.
Somehow I replied to this post and it got away. I agree.Koronin said:Here's the problem in taking much from the '16 Vuelta win with attacks from Quintana. The main attack that won him that race was set up before the start by Valverde and Contador making a nice game plan. Or at least they were in a deep discussion before the start of that stage and were doing their best to make sure no one else had any idea of what they were talking about.
I think the conservative Quintana is typical and I don't expect that to change.
I also agree that Dumoulin was beatable in the Giro.
Tonton said:Somehow I replied to this post and it got away. I agree.Koronin said:Here's the problem in taking much from the '16 Vuelta win with attacks from Quintana. The main attack that won him that race was set up before the start by Valverde and Contador making a nice game plan. Or at least they were in a deep discussion before the start of that stage and were doing their best to make sure no one else had any idea of what they were talking about.
I think the conservative Quintana is typical and I don't expect that to change.
I also agree that Dumoulin was beatable in the Giro.
This.Põhja Konn said:I obviously cannot rule out the possibility of Quintana's best days being behind him, but personally I don't think that's the case at all. Last years Giro and Tour were his 3rd and 4th consecutive GTs in a row. Adding the four shorter stage races he did before the Giro then it is not exactly surprising that cumulative fatigue caught up with him even with the off-season in between. If there were problems and miscalculations with preparation then it further compromised his performances. How he performes during this upcoming season will say a lot about him as a rider and where he stands in terms of his career trajectory.
There is quite widespread dislike of him in this forum and that dislike largely explains why so many people are getting ahead of themselves proclaiming that we have seen the best of Quintana. It might turn out to be true, but at this stage reaching such a conclusion is influenced more by wishful thinking rather than rational analysis.
I think expectations on him to entertain are too high, resulting in people feeling let down by him. The reality is that he does a serious all-in, race splitting, attack from 50+km out pretty much every GT that he rides; and has won two GTs already thanks to those attacks. How many other GT contenders can say the same? Quintana is more aggressive than nearly all of them.Jspear said:I feel like some people want to like him, he just makes it hard for others to root for him. That’s me. I’d love to see him tear it up. I’d cheer for him. He just don’t do it much. Personally I think that’s where a lot of the “harshness” comes from.