National Football League

[on3m@n@rmy]

NFLSTATS QUOTE:

Some recent research looked at when HFA manifests itself in games. In the NBA, HFA (or HCA rather) is strongest in the beginning of the game and then diminishes as it goes on. I found the same phenomenon in the NFL.

The bird lovers @ Advanced Stats obviously never been to a Seahawk game in the last 10 years where noise level does not go down as the game proceeds.

 

[Zam_Olyas]

I am about to win in Madden ...does that count?

 

[Amsterhammer]

NFL badges as European football ones, pretty cool.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-s...-european-football-badges-045907725--nfl.html

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

I feel the same thing may happen to the Saints for a couple years as well.

And just when we talk the Saints, they hit No. 1 at the true power rankings.
http://www.advancednflstats.com/2013/11/team-efficiency-rankings-week-11.html#more
From now i´ll root for them too. I like agressive, innovative teams who then have to against all odds.

My favourite NFC championship game: Philly at NO. (Ok, i know my dream pairings never fullfil. So just forget about it. Won´t happen )

NFL badges as European football ones, pretty cool.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-s...-european-football-badges-045907725--nfl.html

BAL CF and Cowboys FC are my favs. TB and Bills also not bad...

 

[Tricycle Rider]

Given some of the upsets this year I feel like I should be picking the lowly Falcons over the Saints, but I'll go with the Saints anyway. (If they lose I'll kick myself at a later date.)

Will post the rest later.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

Now everyone will pick NO. That´s for certain, away game or not. So to pick the winner makes no sense unless we play a game of who comes closest to the final margin.

NO 44, ATL 10

If NO is minus 2 in turnovers, they still win the game by 24-21 (but that´s my unofficial pick).

 

[Tricycle Rider]

Now everyone will pick NO. That´s for certain, away game or not. So to pick the winner makes no sense unless we play a game of who comes closest to the final margin.

NO 44, ATL 10

If NO is minus 2 in turnovers, they still win the game by 24-21 (but that´s my unofficial pick).

You stat geeks totally freak me out. But I'll play anyway, and I'll actually reverse my pick...

ATL 20-17

EDIT before kickoff: ATL 21-20

 

[Amsterhammer]

NO@ATL

I'll punt on 38-17.

 

[Alpe d'Huez]

NO@Atl - No contest. Atlanta simply has no OL or DL, and are hurt at other key positions. Saints in a race for HFA with Seattle.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

Alpe that´s conservative. We know the Saints will win*. Would you kindly make a score call? Thanks in advance.

(Ok, except Tri, he want´s to hit the jackpot this week... )

 

[Tricycle Rider]

(Ok, except Tri, he want´s to hit the jackpot this week... )

I'm a she.

So before I lose this one I at least expect you to get my gender right.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

I'm a she.

So before I lose this one I at least expect you to get my gender right.

How could i´ve known that?

 

[Tricycle Rider]

How could i´ve known that?

I'll bow to you gracefully if I lose. But I'm not about to show my tits.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

So ATL has 10. Now NO only needs 37...

 

[Tricycle Rider]

So ATL has 10. Now NO only needs 37...

Dude, you're the one who is playing Vegas, not me.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

Not this game. It doesn´t qualify for postive EV (line not big enough to go against, no backup QB, no playoffs).

... it´s just for fun. Like picking all home games.

 

[Alpe d'Huez]

Alpe that´s conservative. We know the Saints will win*. Would you kindly make a score call? Thanks in advance.

36-23

Game already started tho.

 

[Tricycle Rider]

Not this game. It doesn´t qualify for postive EV (line not big enough to go against, no backup QB, no playoffs).

... it´s just for fun. Like picking all home games.

I'll bow to you gracefully if I lose. Which I did.

But that was a close one, don't you think?

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

I failed miserably. Brees´ offense with his usual effiecient game, but the D wasn´t.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

Had a quick look at the schedules... i´ll go with the home teams sunday and monday again.

 

[FoxxyBrown1111]

CBS making me laugh again. Some guy who (allegedly) watches tons of games means Glennon is wayyy better than RG3. He can judge this by what? Actually what is he watching? Questions of questions?
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on...non-far-more-advanced-than-rg3-playing-nfl-qb
Anyway, I did not see much of TB or WAS (who would, outside of hardcore fans or coaches?), but I have some numbers (I know QBs are only as good as talent around them, but I just make the case that RG3 is not worse than Glennon, plus both have miserable teams, so then again they are comparable a little):
RG3 7.3 Y/A, 12.2 Y/C, 5.6 Sack-Pct.;
Glennon 6.2 Y/A (one fu..ing yard per attempt less, that´s night and day in the NFL), 10.0 Y/C (I guess every QB looks good when completing only dink & dunk stuff, I can "make difficult anticipation throws" if I have to complete dump-offs to a RB), 6.4 Sack-Pct.
From only the numbers I see, even on one leg RG3 is actually better than this Glennon guy.
RG3 gets the $hi.tstorm b/c of his INT (I mean what should he have done? It was desperation time trou-out 2nd half, mistakes happen then), but no one mentions the throw a couple of plays before, so I do (watch at 3.33 mins): http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2013111706/2013/REG11/redskins@eagles#menu=highlights&tab=recap
RG3 didn´t really step into that throw (b/c of his knee I guess), and it still traveled 30 yds on a line hitting the receiver in stride.
I suspect Glennon will never be able to do that on two legs, especially not on 3rd and a mile...

 

[Tricycle Rider]

I can tell FoxxyBrown is trying to blind me with stats (or spread sheets, or whatever), but I won't fall for them this time.

Anyhoo, eeny, meeny, miny, moe, here are the rest of my picks for this week...


Pittsburgh
Detroit
Green Bay
Kansas City
Chicago
Carolina
Baltimore
Houston
Indianapolis
Oakland
NY Giants
Denver
San Francisco

 

[ChewbaccaD]

I can tell FoxxyBrown is trying to blind me with stats (or spread sheets, or whatever), but I won't fall for them this time.

Anyhoo, eeny, meeny, miny, moe, here are the rest of my picks for this week...


Pittsburgh
Detroit
Green Bay
Kansas City
Chicago
Carolina
Baltimore
Houston
Indianapolis
Oakland
NY Giants
Denver
San Francisco

I like the Panthers pick (I live in Charlotte and go to the home games) and the Denver pick. Everyone is talking about how Belichick and Brady are still all ****-hurt about losing Monday and will come out angry, blah, blah, blah. Denver wins, and wins easily.

 

[Tricycle Rider]

Congrats, Stanford, I do believe you are going to the Rose Bowl!



Sorry, took yet another wrong turn and turned into college football...

But if you had seen that absolute nuclear meltdown by Oregon today I'm sure you'd probably agree.

Anyhoo, back to the NFL now.

 

[The Hitch]

Surprised everyone is going for giants. Yes giants have home field advantage but cowboys have come very close against better sides than nyg this season and are coming off a by week.

Also surprised everyone is so confident with Denver doing the business in Foxborough. Pats are unbeaten at home. Manning already lost the other big qb showdown he faced this year and that was against an easier team.

Both could go either way.

Don't know about sf at redskins. All but one on espn chose 49ers but they are on a bit of a slump and skins are still formidable at home (beat 2 real playoff contenders last 2 home games)