Justin Herbert is playing hurt, and has since I think week 2's blowout win over Houston. He has fractured (torn?) rib cartilage. This has unquestionably taken away much of his arm strength. Anyone who saw him play last year, versus this year, can clearly see that. He normally has one of the strongest arms in the NFL, but now? Not even close. 
Check out the numbers, courtesy of NFL Research:
- Herbert in Weeks 1 and 2: 72.0 comp pct, 7.5 yds/att, 6 TD, 1 INT, 112.5 passer rating.
 
- Herbert in Weeks 3 through 7: 63.7 comp pct, 6.2 yds/att, 6 TD, 3 INT, 84.2 passer rating.
 
As to the team? They gave up 37 points to Seattle. That's a lot.
I think it's too early to pass such judgment on Lawerence, or Pederson. in fact, the Jaguars are a couple plays from being 4-3. Granted, this league is about winning, but seven games into Pederson's time, pulling the plug would be incredibly rash. Like, Corporate America shareholder CEO rash.
Trent Baalke however should have been canned long ago. He's a survivor who has somehow been able to convince owner after owner they should hire him, keep him, fire someone else, while leaving a ripple of poor decisions in his wake. I don't know how much personnel decision making he has vs. Pederson though.
It's hard to tell on both Brady and Rodgers. They seem to make many of the same throws they did in years past, aren't making terrible passes the way Ryan is, but don't seem to have the focus. People on Twitters and elsewhere are starting to pile on them like they have on Wilson, showing missed receivers and other bad decisions. I don't know if either is at the point in their career when Peyton Manning's arm started to go in his last 2 years, but PM still saw the whole field as good as ever.
As to Sam Ehlinger getting to start over Ryan, that seems inevitable in retrospect. Mostly because Ryan has been a statue. He has been capable of making some of the same throws he made years ago, but has thrown too many horribly costly passes just the same. What's most telling is he's been dropped to #3 QB (behind Nick Foles). Ehlinger had a solid four-year college career at Texas, and played well in very limited time last year and this year (pre-season mostly). So if the Colts are going to be mostly run heavy, and not fall too far behind, he could do well. I'd roll the dice too if I were Reich. Plus, I don't care if he breaks both ankles, he'll still be more mobile than Ryan.
I agree with whomever wondered why so many teams are going for it on 4th and two or three, instead of kicking FGs. I've always been mostly supportive of going for it at mid-field, but to run the risk of scoring zero points. Unless you're playing KC or Buffalo, and behind, I don't get it.
Metcalf won't need surgery. We'll find out later this week if he suits up to play the Giants. I would think Seattle could sure use him, even if he only plays a few times, or as a decoy.