Offical Wout Van Aert isn't a new Zdenek Stybar

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I doubt it?

The remarkable thing about WvA is that he shouldn't be top 20 in a GT in the first place. But top 20 vs winning a Grand Tour is still a different universe of climbing.
Normally, I'd agree 100% ... but he put in a lot of work in the Tour that as a protected GC rider he wouldn't have to do. On the right course with the right support, yeah, I actually think he could be a real contender. He's not going to give anything away in an ITT, and if there's a northern cobbled stage he could take 4-5 minutes on a light climber if the weather's bad (or even if it's not).

Alaphilippe, because of his size, isn't a perfect analogue. But he still finished fifth -- I don't see Wout as a worse GC contender.
 
Normally, I'd agree 100% ... but he put in a lot of work in the Tour that as a protected GC rider he wouldn't have to do. On the right course with the right support, yeah, I actually think he could be a real contender. He's not going to give anything away in an ITT, and if there's a northern cobbled stage he could take 4-5 minutes on a light climber if the weather's bad (or even if it's not).

Alaphilippe, because of his size, isn't a perfect analogue. But he still finished fifth -- I don't see Wout as a worse GC contender.
I think it doesn't hurt much to try, and I suspect they'll test it in Tirreno just for future reference. That said I expect Jumbo knows Van Aerts numbers and that he probably comes up short compared to Roglic etc.
 
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I think it doesn't hurt much to try, and I suspect they'll test it in Tirreno just for future reference. That said I expect Jumbo knows Van Aerts numbers and that he probably comes up short compared to Roglic etc.
Yeah, he probably doesn't have the numbers of a Roglic or purer climber. But he can push a lot of watts for an hour or so...that might be enough to get him over a few cols, so long as it wasn't a ridiculous climb like Mortirolo.

T-A could be a race he could win. The 2020 parcours wasn't that bad for a non-pure climber.
 
I think it doesn't hurt much to try, and I suspect they'll test it in Tirreno just for future reference. That said I expect Jumbo knows Van Aerts numbers and that he probably comes up short compared to Roglic etc.
The fact that there was never any talk about riding for GC, and suddenly now he's going to try here and there, shows there might be enough to cause some doubt. Keep in mind that he's a big guy, who "if" he wants to go for GC, can shed quite some kg's. In total watts, i think van Aert will put out bigger numbers than Dumoulin, who won the Giro weighing 71kgs. If van Aert can drop his weight -like an actual GC rider- i wouldn't be so sure about your comparison with Roglic. But like i said months ago, does he want to? I doubt it. It would require a complete shift, and it would likely mean giving up CX and dropping cobbled classics ambitions. He could probably turn to Ardennes instead though.
 
The fact that there was never any talk about riding for GC, and suddenly now he's going to try here and there, shows there might be enough to cause some doubt. Keep in mind that he's a big guy, who "if" he wants to go for GC, can shed quite some kg's. In total watts, i think van Aert will put out bigger numbers than Dumoulin, who won the Giro weighing 71kgs. If van Aert can drop his weight -like an actual GC rider- i wouldn't be so sure about your comparison with Roglic. But like i said months ago, does he want to? I doubt it. It would require a complete shift, and it would likely mean giving up CX and dropping cobbled classics ambitions. He could probably turn to Ardennes instead though.
I'm comparing him to Roglic cause he's his team leader. The difference between doing a turn at the front or being there with 20 dudes left to riding for the win is relatively huge still.
 

Still five weeks away from full fitness. So for Strade he will not be one of the favourites anymore, I think.
I wouldn't count him out. Strade is a such grueling race. I think a few extra pounds may not be a big disadvantage especially if the weather is poor.
 
Oct 31, 2018
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Still five weeks away from full fitness. So for Strade he will not be one of the favourites anymore, I think.
That doesn't seem like something his personal trainer would throw out there in the media without a bit of a strategy behind it.
Time will tell, but it wouldn't suprise me if he's 100% fit and ready for Strade.
 
Wout van Aert smashes records in the Canaries
"If there is one that has attracted the attention of cyclists fans of numbers (but also of his opponents on the road) it is the Belgian Wout van Aert. The Jumbo-Visma rider's Strava has recorded insane numbers over the past three weeks. During his internship in the Canaries, the KOMs (King of Mountain) and the records fell one after the other. "

Source (French):

 
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