thehog said:You dont give away $7.5m on 'might'.
Lance was never going to be popped. It was a cataclysmic sequence of events that lead to his downfall and very nearly didn't happen. The UCI had no interest in taking him down. 8 years later SCA still haven't got their money back and might not get it. That's not gambling or calulated risk talking. It was a bad bet first time round. Betting against a guy who would do anything including cheating to win.
Once Floyd got the US interested, Lance's fraud started collapsing like a house of cards. Had that darn crook Landis come forward while the SOL was still unexpired, Lance would be a felon now.
Lance never fully appreciated the risk of non analytical positives.