- Sep 25, 2009
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sniper said:repeating again my previous post (though not so well discussed): a german news station reported yesterday (in some sports 2010 overview) about the otcharov case - how he was let off the hook in large part thanks to his negative hairtest - and then switched to Contador, noting he doesn't have a negative hairtest result, and hence will in all likeliness be unable to avoid suspension.
If I'm correct, this can mean three things: 1. He didn't do a hairtest (yet); 2. He did one but it came out positive; 3. He did one and it came out negative but for some reason doesn't feel the need to make it public.
Anyway, I was merely checking if anybody knew which one of the three it is.
And he really does need that negative hairtest.
if contador’s team did their home work right, imo, they’d have to use the following rationale for timing the hair follicle test:
-since one of the most damming suspicions is that clen entered contador from a blood extracted right after dauphine libere, he needs to show to the jury that there was no clen in his system between 13 june and 21 july - a classic 35-40 days window for blood storage. since the reported window of detectabillity for hair tests is around three months, contador had plenty of time even considering a 30+ days delay in learning about the positive. i’d put this date to the beginning of september or about . Otoh, the uci/wada can argue that lack of clen in the hair means nothing b/c of micro dosing. looking at ovcharov's and gasquet ruling, it appears the jury was not concerned with microdozing. in fact, some of cas's conclusions were based on the arguments so spacious, that they seem amazing ('her hair had the drug but his didn't and because she kissed him he was likely dirtied by a doper') ,
-another criteria for the timing would be to try to show that he did not ingest large and repeat dozes going as far back from 21 july as possible with the most sensitive test available.
if we eventually learn that contador never had the hair test, I’d consider it a sign he knew the high risk of testing positive and the possibility of being exposed by yet another leak or a damming truth about being a doper.