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Paris - Roubaix 2022, one day monument, April 17

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I’d put Senechal maybe two star and Stybar not on there, but I wouldn’t mind a Stybar win either.
Senechal has a handy sprint but yeah 2 is fair. I was getting a bit carried away! Only way I can see Stybar winning is if QS have 3-4 in the group and he sets off and everyone else looks at each other. He'd need to win solo.
 
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It's such a hard race to predict because there is always a bit of luck or unluck involved here. Last year Moscon would have won had he not had the flat.

This year it's even trickier. The weather is good the temprature seems fine and roads are dry. A couple of people will have this race as their main target for the year.

I believe Mads P will outrace MvdP but i also believe MvdP can cut him off with one of his power attacks. Here there is only a bunch of people that can sit with him.

The thing Kristoff did at Scheldeprijs was amazing and he looked strong.

Lefevre is not happy so I do see a quickstep team that is dialed in, and the team the chosen is super strong. Even though Asgreen has been looking a little weaker than last year, due to sickness, i do believe he will be in the finale.

Ineos' Ben Turner keeps me amazed and wow, that young buck Sheffield is strong too. The team has found itself somehow and I think it's the right move to look elsewhere than Pidcock or Van Baarle.

LaPorte is good too.

I hope the Intermarché team does it because it's the outside team and they have proven they are more than capable.

My brain says Wout even though he is not on top.
 
doesn't help that the forecast is quite warm as Roubaix goes. Not exactly Pedersens forté. He'd need a cold edition
almost nothing speaks for him, tbh. His record in Roubaix is as poor as it can get, his shape questionable, and the temperatures too warm.

Sure he may stand a chance, if he gets into the right move, same as every quick rider who is somewhat skillful on the cobbles - but man vs man, I wouldn't even see him as one of the 10 best for Roubaix.
 
almost nothing speaks for him, tbh. His record in Roubaix is as poor as it can get, his shape questionable, and the temperatures too warm.

Sure he may stand a chance, if he gets into the right move, same as every quick rider who is somewhat skillful on the cobbles - but man vs man, I wouldn't even see him as one of the 10 best for Roubaix.

10 best is probs streching it. He crashed out of the front group last year. In my opinion he has a chance, but is of course not the favourite. Man vs Man he is defiantly in the top 10 tho.
 
almost nothing speaks for him, tbh. His record in Roubaix is as poor as it can get, his shape questionable, and the temperatures too warm.

Sure he may stand a chance, if he gets into the right move, same as every quick rider who is somewhat skillful on the cobbles - but man vs man, I wouldn't even see him as one of the 10 best for Roubaix.
This is a harsh take. Who are the ten guys that are better?

He raced Roubaix three times from age 21 and then also last year when he looked great until Luke Rowe happened. While he is better than many others in cold conditions I have never seen anything to indicate he is worse than others in warm conditions.
 
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almost nothing speaks for him, tbh. His record in Roubaix is as poor as it can get, his shape questionable, and the temperatures too warm.

Sure he may stand a chance, if he gets into the right move, same as every quick rider who is somewhat skillful on the cobbles - but man vs man, I wouldn't even see him as one of the 10 best for Roubaix.

Paris Roubaix 2021: Pedersen was in the group of around six favorites until Rowe crashed him out of the race with a stupid move.
Paris Roubaix 2020: Not ridden

So we have to go back to 2019 with a 23 year old Pedersen to find an edition where he actually wasn’t good. 23.

His shape is hardly questionable he has looked very strong for the entire season. With one weakness. The cobbled climbs where the other favorites go all out. Roubaix doesn’t have those.

I would reconsider your statement. Even the bookies know better.