Red Rick said:
Red Rick said:
It's not very reasonable to blame riders of other teams trying to do what's best for them, rather than what's best for Sagan.
You make it seem like an individual rider's choice in the break boils down to
Don't work: 0% chance to win
Work: >0% chance to win
This is obviously not true, and the reason it's not true is exactly because there are other riders present and it's always much better to follow wheels than be the one to work. It's just not individually rational to work in many situations like that, even though everyone working equally would be collectively better for everyone. The tragedy of the commons applies to riders in a break chasing the guy who wrote away.
What if I told you that you can cooperate a little bit without completely ruining your own chances. If a couple of guys do a little bit of work and keep Plaza closer, Sagan would also be more inclined to do more work, and if you keep Plaza close enough, you might be able to attack and close the gap, etc etc. Wayy more scenarios that way than when nobody does anything and everybody rolls to the line one minute back
Sounds great, you guys do that, I'm gonna hang on at the back and my chance to win will be even higher.
So, you can either work with Sagan to bring back any attackers, knowing that you have no chance in a sprint, or force Sagan to do all the work so he tires himself out, and if he does bring the attacker back, you suddenly have a chance of winning. Third scenario: You work a bit with Sagan, bring back any attackers, then attack yourself. However, if nobody else is prepared to work, you will no longer be the best of the rest as you'll be tired unlike the others, so again it's a no win situation