PREDICTION 2018

[rote_laterne]

I forgot about the predictions here, but if it's not too late these are my picks on another forum before the start of the race:

http://velorooms.com/index.php?topic=8866.0;message=2243253

Vuelta
GC
Quintana
Uran
Lopez

 

[SKSemtex]

Misery continues. 29,5 points out of 522

 

[Nirvana]

Not bad, I need to gamble in the last races to aim for a podium in the GC

 

[SKSemtex]

One small thing. In case of the same amount of points, the higher number of correct tips will be decisive.
According to this criteria, Hugo is by far the best (13 correct tips)

 

[RedheadDane]

Right, I suppose I'm not really in this competition, but I'm gonna make a wild shot here.
WRR:
1. Yates
2. Nibali
3. Fuglsang (a girl can dream)

 

[Blanco]

WCRR:
Valverde
Uran
Adam Yates

ITT:
Dennis
Dumoulin
Castroviejo

 

[SKSemtex]

Re:

WCRR:
Valverde
Uran
Adam Yates

ITT?

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

still in the top 10, not that bad lol

 

[Koronin]

Worlds:

ITT:
Dumoulin
Dennis
Castroviejo

RR:
Valverde
Alaphilippe
A Yates

 

[Gigs_98]

ITT:
Dumoulin
Dennis
Roglic (is he even riding?

RR:
Moscon
Poels
Yates

damn, the road race is so incredibly hard to predict. This could be completely off (hell, I hope it will be completely off) but I have a gut feeling that all the guys who are constantly called pre race favorites will come up short.

 

[topcat]

ITT (not that I care)
1. Dennis
2. Dumu
3. Castro

RR
1. Nibs
2. Valverde
3. Bardet

 

[Rollthedice]

ITT:
Dumoulin
Dennis
Roglic (is he even riding?

RR:
Moscon
Poels
Yates

damn, the road race is so incredibly hard to predict. This could be completely off (hell, I hope it will be completely off) but I have a gut feeling that all the guys who are constantly called pre race favorites will come up short.

Roglic no ITT but he might win the RR.

 

[SHAD0W93]

Changed me 2 second places.
Worlds Road: Valverde, Pinot, Kreuziger
Worlds TT: Domoulin, Dennis, T. Martin

 

[Jspear]

Worlds RR

1. Valverde
2. Alaphilipe
3. S Yates (can I just say Yates? )

TT

1. Dumoulin
2. Dennis
3. Kiryienka

 

[the asian]

World's RR
1. Poels
2. Moscon
3.A Yates

ITT
1. Dumo
2.Dennis
3.Castro

 

[Põhja Konn]

Worlds:

ITT:
Dennis
Dumoulin
Castroviejo

RR:
Alaphilippe
Moscon
Uran

 

[Sartorius]

WCRR:
Valverde
Roglič
Alaphilippe

ITT:
Dennis
Dumoulin
Oliveira

 

[greenedge]

Already have valverde as a winner on the initial prediction so i'll spread my chances.

RR:
Alaphilipe
Simon Yates
Uran


ITT:
Dennis
Dumoulin
Kwiatowski

 

[Tonton]

Winner last year, yied for 25th now, old...I'm The New Horner .

ITT: Dumoulin and the rest I don't care.

My prediction was Valverde for the road race. It's between him and his French clone on paper. But everybody knows it, so it may get very hectic, as riders may take a chance, hope for the two to watch each other.

Here we go: within sight of the line Tibopino comes from behind, puts his guts on the road and opens a gap. Valverde has no choice but to chase him. Balaphilippe follows the Don and out-sprints him. Moscon punches somebody, Nacer wishes he was there.

1. Alaf
2. Bala
3. El Tibo

 

[42x16ss]

Here we go: within sight of the line Tibopino comes from behind, puts his guts on the road and opens a gap. Valverde has no choice but to chase him. Balaphilippe follows the Don and out-sprints him. Moscon punches somebody, Nacer wishes he was there.

1. Alaf
2. Bala
3. El Tibo

Every word of that is 100% plausible. IMHO it's the most likely scenario.

 

[sprints n stones]

On train at moment just doing ITT as guess should put in before TTT
1- Dennis
2 - Dumoulin
3- Kiryienka

 

[krakenKE]

ITT:
1. Dumoulin
2. Dennis
3. Kwiatko

RR:
1. Alaphilippe
2. Roglic
3. Valverde

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Worlds ITT:

1. Dumoulin
2. Dennis
3. Kiryienka

Worlds RR:

1. Valverde
2. Alaphilippe
3. S. Yates

 

[Red Rick]

Worlds ITT

1. Tom Dumoulin
2. Rohan Dennis
3. Tony Martin

Road Race

1. Vincenzo Nibali
2. Enric Mas
3. Thibaut Pinot


Either that or the biggest crash will be my hopes and dreams

 

[Nirvana]

WC ITT

1. Dennis
2. Dumoulin
3. Kiryenka


WC RR

1. van Avermaet
2. Weening
3. Valgren


For the TT i think the Giro and Tour will take their toll on Dumoulin, not so much like in 2016 considering also the weaker competition but enough for Dennis to win. For the third place i think is difficult but on a 50+ kms course Kiryenka should have an edge over the other potential medalists.

For the RR i'll stick with my idea of a break that will take out of contention the favourites, there is a lot of potential names, if selected Matthews would have been the favourite in this scenario so i'll go with van Avermaet that is the closest to him. Old school breakway specialist Weening is someone i've thought about since i knew he was selected and Valgren is another that will be there for sure in an eventual late break.