That's a strange analogy. Brand is more a "Wout van Aert" type of rider, compared to Alvarado who is more a "Mathieu van der Poel" kind of rider. Brand "ok" technique with a huge engine.If Brand can win on this circuit then MVdP can too.
He should be able to manage that sand just fine.
Sure the circuit is not that fast but there's no deep mud.
The bridges? He's pretty good at them if I recall correctly.
Pidcock might beat him up that big bridge - but P. will done in
by the sand before he even gets to it....
But sure, Mathieu can win. But i don't really see how Brand's win is testament of that. If Wout doesn't screw up tactically like in Flanders, i give him the best chances. He has to keep pressure on Mathieu, and keep the pace high. If he grants Mathieu time to recuperate, Mathieu will take it. If it's "balls out" from start to finish, i think it suits van Aert more.