geez, I really need to write a LONG post. Will do it later. For now, I just want to tell you that with Huy, cobbles and Bretagne there is 0% chance of a sprinter getting yellow (unless you mean uphill sprinter). But that is the last of my problems.
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Coat-O said:No podium for Quintana this year.
djconnel said:21 stages, 3344 km:
hrotha said:John, the value of the ITTs is not the immediate entertainment they provide, which for most people is pretty low, but the gaps they create among the favourites, which forces at least some of them to do something in the mountains before the last km. We know what happens when there are only small gaps, because we've seen it countless times: people are extremely conservative.
ITTs are essential to have good mountain stages.
Lots of crosswind stages, the cobble stage, punchy uphill finishes with bonus secs (Quintana is more of an engine climber).greenedge said:I'm confused, why not?
If he can't win on this route with 14km ITT, which will be the route that suits him most for the next 5 years at least. THere's also Alpe D Huez and PDB for the long climbs he needs, he should be fine here.
oh my God not this **** again. Haven't you been reading the forum at every route presentation?King Boonen said:The reducing distances? What has been the biggest scourge of cycling in the past few decades? That's what has fuelled the epic battles and ridiculous ability of these riders to cover huge distances day in, day out. If we want that to change we have to accept that shorter stages are a good first step. Leave the long distances to the one day races, where riders can leave it all on the road at the finish line and recuperate.
Eshnar said:oh my God not this **** again. Haven't you been reading the forum at every route presentation?
If you have read it already, I don't see the point of repeating, but I'll try anyway, trying to be as PRR-friendly as possible.King Boonen said:Yes, I have, but how about you make a point rather than some abstract reference where a posters comment is to be weighted by how much they remember from several years previous postings.
I'll even start a topic in the clinic so we can discuss it properly if you like?
hrotha said:Yeah, that post was so utterly wrong it's not even funny. The distances thing aside, climbers have been favoured a lot by GT courses lately, and even if they hadn't, what's the big idea behind making it so that any mediocre rider has a shot at the prize?
Eshnar said:If you have read it already, I don't see the point of repeating, but I'll try anyway, trying to be as PRR-friendly as possible.
Riders cheat to win. They don't cheat to "survive". Any amateur is physically able to race any GT route in the last 30 years.
Making shorter stages won't change the fact that riders will cheat to win. They will cheat for recovery, because recover will always be important, they will cheat also to go faster if sheer speed becomes an important factor.
Sprinters have been found cheating in the past. They did not cheat because a 150 kms flat stage is inhuman.
Countless 100m athletes have been busted. Those people are generally able to celebrate their wins by keeping running all around the stadium, so I assume they're not so tired after the race.
What I never read, though, is a counter argument to our point.
Ferminal said:Not to mention the years gone by with longer distances were characterised by substances which have shorter periods of effectiveness... Yet the so called "scourge" of modern cycling is actually something that lasts for days/weeks. Of course Anquetil would love to have access to today's treats. I guess my point is back then the distances were long enough to overcome some of the predictability which performance management delivers us. If you think that predictability is around today and a bad thing then you need to go in the opposite direction and extend things beyond what performance management is capable of neutralising.
King Boonen said:I can't answer those posts here, but I've started a clinic thread if you wish to discuss it there.
Jazasz said:A TTT but almost no ITT, time bonuses, cobbles. How else can we lessen the correlation between the winner and strongest rider?
Electress said:Must admit, don't like the sense that the biggest factor in sorting out the pack will probably be weather, cobbles and crashes.
Smaller gaps = less aggressive racing.daveyt said:I hope the easy route will mean more aggressive racing.
Electress said:Must admit, don't like the sense that the biggest factor in sorting out the pack will probably be weather, cobbles and crashes.
Maaaaaaaarten said:If you think weather, cobbles and crashes are the main factors, than maybe you think Boonen and Cancellara are the favourites for this TDF? I'm quite sure the climbs will be the main factor is sorting out the pack.....
If Contador loses too much time in echelons and on the cobbles, it's just his own fault for being too weak. Dealing with the weather and the cobbles are first and foremost skills.If all Contador can do is climb, he should just go target the polka dot jersey or something. But hey, I think he can do more than just climb and I'm quite sure he climbs well enough to be able to earn back any time he loses on the cobbles and in the weather when the mountains come. If he can't, he'll just be beaten fair and square by a better rider.
daveyt said:I thought Paris-Nice last year was a better without any massive climbs. Very rare much happens before the final climb anyway, it's an experiment for sure, hope it works.
Time bonuses are good.