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Riders to reach 100 pro wins

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Which riders will reach 100 pro wins?

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Peyroteo94

Peyroteo94

Mar 20, 2022
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Devil's Elbow said:
If you want to compare to riders of his calibre - Contador won 8 in 2.5 years after his final Giro win, Nibali won 3 in almost 5 years after his Sanremo win, Jalabert (who will remain miles ahead of Roglic) dwindled to 3 and 5 wins for the year in his final two seasons. Valverde is a crazy outlier in all respects, there is a strong case to be made that he hadn't peaked yet at 35.

And fwiw, Valverde was also better in the classics and racing a win-friendlier schedule in his mid-30s compared to current Roglic.
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This. Roglic will not be here much more years, specially after his interview talking how he considered retirement after crashed out in the Tour. Maybe 2027 will be his final season.
 
Red Rick

Red Rick

Feb 20, 2012
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Devil's Elbow said:
If you want to compare to riders of his calibre - Contador won 8 in 2.5 years after his final Giro win, Nibali won 3 in almost 5 years after his Sanremo win, Jalabert (who will remain miles ahead of Roglic) dwindled to 3 and 5 wins for the year in his final two seasons. Valverde is a crazy outlier in all respects, there is a strong case to be made that he hadn't peaked yet at 35.

And fwiw, Valverde was also better in the classics and racing a win-friendlier schedule in his mid-30s compared to current Roglic.
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And neither were ever as good at winning many races as Roglic was.

Roglic' loss condition isn't aging out of winning, it's scheduling + an early retirement.
 
Devil's Elbow

Devil's Elbow

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Peyroteo94 said:
This. Roglic will not be here much more years, specially after his interview talking how he considered retirement after crashed out in the Tour. Maybe 2027 will be his final season.
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2027 being his final season is easily late enough if he doesn't suffer a meaningful decline (as in losing to Mas in a Vuelta levels) next year, though. And if he does, then he would probably be near irrelevant by 2028 anyway.
 
Devil's Elbow

Devil's Elbow

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Red Rick said:
And neither were ever as good at winning many races as Roglic was.

Roglic' loss condition isn't aging out of winning, it's scheduling + an early retirement.
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Roglic' loss condition is absolutely ageing out of winning, assuming he doesn't retire at the end of next season or gets screwed over by major injury. If he's still at more or less the same level next year, he should be able to match this year's 8 (and counting) wins, especially if injuries hurt him a bit less and then it's hard to see the final 4 or so wins not coming. So he would have to decline next year to fall short of 100.
 
Ilmaestro99

Ilmaestro99

Apr 13, 2021
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Leiphemer took 16 pro wins after his 35th birthday. Roglic with a bit of a Mickey mouse schedule can do this easily. Think how many wins there are in San Juan, tour de under, tour guangzi, tour of Britain ( if they put a proper climb) , Tour de Suisse, ruta del sol, tour Slovenia, national championship

A guy who takes 15 pro wins at 33 can easily take 11-12 from 35th birthday til retirement
 
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Peyroteo94

Peyroteo94

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Ilmaestro99 said:
Leiphemer took 16 pro wins after his 35th birthday. Roglic with a bit of a Mickey mouse schedule can do this easily. Think how many wins there are in San Juan, tour de under, tour guangzi, tour of Britain ( if they put a proper climb) , Tour de Suisse, ruta del sol

A guy who takes 15 pro wins at 33 can easily take 11-12 from 35th birthday til retirement
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But Roglic will not race mickey mouse races
 
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CyclistAbi

May 29, 2019
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I assume most of you discussing are way past your prime, caught up with the age aspect of it so much. Well at least it's not wheel sucking, crashes a lot and *** like that any more. It's about elderly people and their ability to kick some ass. Good news here being it happens, it happens a lot.

So stop being lazy and get on the bike, just because you are old doesn't mean you are not able to ride a bike any more, please stop finding excuses.
 
RedheadDane

RedheadDane

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Samu Cuenca said:
It will with that attitude. So stop being lazy and get on the bike, just because you are old have a cold doesn't mean you are not able to ride a bike any more, please stop finding excuses and start winning.
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There are people who start when they're 18, and never manage to. But you want me to do it?
I don't wanna win races. I don't wanna race! I hate it when it gets too crowded on the bike lane, sitting in a peloton would be horrible...
 
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Blanco

Blanco

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Cookster15 said:
Only late compared to the recent trend. Roglic started on the road in 2012 aged 23. By comparison Cadel Evans was 24 when he switched to the road from MTB. Evans declined almost immediately after his Tour win when he was aged 34. Roglic is now 34. Valverde is an obvious outlier.
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Roglic started in 2013, literally. He didn't ride bike before that in youth categories. He started in WT races in 2016. That's a pretty late starter if you ask me.
 
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RedheadDane

RedheadDane

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Blanco said:
Roglic started in 2013, literally. He didn't ride bike before that in youth categories. He started in WT races in 2016. That's a pretty late starter if you ask me.
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Also huge difference between switching from one cycling category to another (like Evans), and switching from hurling yourself off a hill-side* to cycling (like Roglic).





*It's simplifying the concept of skijumping a little bit...
 
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