Pentacycle said:
Well, at first, I was very suspicious of Sky, especially back in 2011 when they still had Leinders, and Froome suddenly broke through.(not to the level of twittering about hating Froome though, if I had twitter) However, both Wiggo and Froome have been so consistent over the last seasons, that their suspicion has lowered somewhat. I'm therefore just arguing that there could be some plausible explanation for Froome's rise, or rather to the delay in his rise. Wiggo's a bit of a mystery for me though.
But I usually don't make sense as well, so it makes no difference really.
Froome has only been consistent after making one of the biggest shock jumps in form in the history of the sport though. Bernhard Kohl had podiumed the Dauphiné; Mosquera had top 10ed every non-WT stage race in Spain and the Volta a Portugal; even Santí Pérez had more results to speak of befor his great Vuelta than Froome did. The nearest thing we have to somebody coming from nowhere (as a GT contender) the same way as Froome did is Bradley Wiggins, which doesn't help the argument.
It is true that Froome has been very consistent since that breakthrough. He was consistently brilliant for a month, then garbage for all of 2012 until June. Since then he's been on it constantly, except at the Vuelta where he was tired. I assume he's due for a rest soon since he's been at top form (well, unbeatable form. Whether he has another couple of gears to use if he needs is another matter, given how fresh he was at the finish today) since February, although Wiggins of course showed that at Sky, the secret of unstoppable peaking can be broken.
Besides, Froome was most assuredly NOT making slow progress before his Vuelta transformation. His CQ scores, year on year, were going downwards, and his contract for the following year hadn't been sorted out. If that's not a red flag I don't know what is. If Steve Houanard suddenly started destroying the late season one-day races last season and won Paris-Bruxelles, Paris-Tours and the Tour de Vendée and podiumed Lombardia like he's 2005 Murilo Fischer or something, would you have thought, "well, you know, he has been top 10 in the Driedaagse van West-Vlaanderen and he did podium the Tour d'Alsace a few years ago, so it's totally logical that he would be this good"? But no, not only did Houanard not get to have his day in the sun, but he got busted for EPO as he tried to get the results to keep himself in the World Tour. Bad luck Steve, have another go in a couple of years.
Also, consistency is not a good thing to use as a guide, because form is transient. Form is like a bell curve. People who are good at all times are at one end of it (as freakishly uncommon), while people who superpeak are at the other. Froome used to be in the superpeak area, now he's swinging over to the other side at pace.
Oh, and as to consistency? Say hello to the most consistent elite cyclist of the last decade:
2003 first podium: February 2, Trofeo Mallorca
2003 last podium: October 12, World Championships RR
Months with a podium: February, March, April, July, September, October
2004 first podium: February 3, Trofeo Cala Millor
2004 last podium: September 19, stage 15, Vuelta a España
Months with a podium: February, March, April, May, June, August, September
2005 first podium: February 8, Trofeo Manacor
2005 last podium: September 25, World Championships RR
Months with a podium: February, March, April, July, September
2006 first podium: March 2, stage 2, Vuelta a Murcía
2006 last podium: September 24, World Championships RR
Months with a podium: March, April, June, August, September
I mean, I could go on.