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Summer Games Paris 2024

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Let me get this straight. All riders who do RR have to also do ITT. Also the other way around? Generally there are more riders doing RR than ITT...
It’s all about spots. Top countries have 4. Only those 4 can participate in any road events. Meaning that of those 4, you have to select those, in Belgiums case 2, to participate in the ITT. Lettuce take Switzerland as an example. If they wish to select Bissegger for the ITT, he has to take a spot on the RR team.

There is a trick: cycling is one event, meaning MTB, Road, Track, BMX is just one thing. Therefore, Italy can switch, because Ganna is selected as a track rider, rather than a road racer. Germany once selected a huge track sprinter as a road racer, so they could select more riders for the track, where their chances of winning were much larger.
 
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If neither Van der Poel nor Van Aert have a global title after next year Olympics, they have certainly done something wrong. From Harrogate in 2019 to the Olympics next year, there have been several routes which should have suited them perfectly or close to perfectly. Especially in Leuven in 2021 and this year, but also the route for next year Olympics and in Harrogate. One of them should really pick up a title soon.
 
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Regardless who are favorites, here are things to consider in Olympic; 1) you only have 4 (or 5) riders (and less in less stronger nations) and, 2) plan: put all effort for one rider or bring a lot of Indian chiefs
 
Its a really good road race course. The Belgian team could be insane here with Remco, Van Aert, Philipsen and watch out for Thibau Nys as well ;) . However Van der Poel, Alaphilippe, Pidcock, Pedersen and Girmay are also strong contenders.

The time-trial is simply too short (terrible trend of doing shorter TTs in major Championships) but after a hilly TT in the last Olympics its nice to see a flat course.
For how much longer will/should Ala be viewed as an A-tier favorite? I think there are many others ahead of him, right now.

Paris is another year away and he will be 32. Last dance, perhaps.
 
At least they have achieved gender parity. So maybe there will be space for more female amateurs.

Yup, wuhu!

4 is too small for top tier teams, but it creates a very different race though which I like. A completely other dynamic... which is fun and interesting, but a field of 90 is defo too small in road racing. 120-130 sounds very good to me in an Olympic Road Race.

I'd not pick Philipsen. Remco, Wout + 2.
 
Do we know if MVDP will ride the road race? Or is his mind still set on the MTB race?

Pidcock will definitely do the MTB.

Doing both? Doubt that.
Road race will be his main goal, but XCO is still on the cards for both Glasgow and Paris. However, he will first have to qualify for the latter and that will be a pain. The Netherlands are in terrible position in the rankings, he hasn't done any races in years and will start from dead last position.
 
For how much longer will/should Ala be viewed as an A-tier favorite? I think there are many others ahead of him, right now.

Paris is another year away and he will be 32. Last dance, perhaps.

He is not as strong as a few years ago, but he was World Champion twice in the last years, he is French and at 32, I don't think age is going to be an issue for a one day race.

I put Van der Poel and Van Aert above him (Remco and Pogačar will likely come from a Tour GC bid so they might not be in top shape) but in a +250k race I don't see that many above him.

Healy should be one to keep an eye on this as well.
 
Road race will be his main goal, but XCO is still on the cards for both Glasgow and Paris. However, he will first have to qualify for the latter and that will be a pain. The Netherlands are in terrible position in the rankings, he hasn't done any races in years and will start from dead last position.
I agree that qualification seems to be a tall order for MvdP. But didn't Pidcock also start from way back on the grid in Tokyo? Nonetheless it will probably a complete waste of time for Mathieu and I think he should focus 100% on the road race.
 
Why would you bring Philipsen? This is never a bunch sprint. You can select 4 guys only, and you have 2 super obvious leaders, you need the other 2 guys to be domestiques.

Yes, because Philipsen is just a sprinter...

Given what other options they have, I probably wouldn't bring him but don't pretend he wouldn't be selected by any other country and would in that case be one of the favourites to win.
 
I agree that qualification seems to be a tall order for MvdP. But didn't Pidcock also start from way back on the grid in Tokyo? Nonetheless it will probably a complete waste of time for Mathieu and I think he should focus 100% on the road race.
Olympics are different than World Championships. There are only 38 qualification spots in the Olympics dependent on the rankings, whereas the Worlds has an infinite amount of spots. Van der Poel will start in last position in Glasgow, meaning he has to get by riders from Lesotho (yes), Mexico and at least 100 others before getting to think about Schurter and Pidcock on what is mostly a single track ground
 
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