Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

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Jun 17, 2024
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Someone explain to me why Novak is going(assuming he is now, know it can change, but lets assume he is) when he is in bad shape for his standard even.

Besides him being Slovenian and a terrific guy im sure, always gives his 110% thats great but he isnt in top shape and riders like Del Toro, Morgado are flying compared to him now. Gives me Contador - Jesus Henrnandez wibes
 
Oct 23, 2024
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So the great one is riding again in 4 days? Great ive been deprived for greatness. Bring it on, I want chaos.
It's crazy how much talk on cycling's forums is about MSR since January. I think there would be like 80-90% less talk about it when Tadej wouldn't be part of it. He is best thing ever happened to this race. I think organizers also pray he doesn't win it.
 
Oct 23, 2024
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Someone explain to me why Novak is going(assuming he is now, know it can change, but lets assume he is) when he is in bad shape for his standard even.

Besides him being Slovenian and a terrific guy im sure, always gives his 110% thats great but he isnt in top shape and riders like Del Toro, Morgado are flying compared to him now. Gives me Contador - Jesus Henrnandez wibes
Nobody knows. Bjerg is like Novak on steroids for this race. But still i can that, but choosing Mcnulty over Del Toro is just absurd.
 
Jun 17, 2024
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It's crazy how much talk on cycling's forums is about MSR since January. I think there would be like 80-90% less talk about it when Tadej wouldn't be part of it. He is best thing ever happened to this race. I think organizers also pray he doesn't win it.
Only race remaining I wouldnt bet on him to steamroll as he pleases. His hardest puzzle to win to me, because this race is no attrition race, its piss easy, not even a training ride for Pogi for 85% of the distance.

(It’s so easy that 10-20 guys can win it, and luck plays a role, which ironically makes it hard to win. It also round out and diversify the monuments—theres something for everyone, which is good and how it should be imo.)

Let him win it like Messi won his World Cup at the end of his career. It would make the best story. And yes, you're obviously right.
 
Oct 15, 2017
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Someone explain to me why Novak is going(assuming he is now, know it can change, but lets assume he is) when he is in bad shape for his standard even.

Besides him being Slovenian and a terrific guy im sure, always gives his 110% thats great but he isnt in top shape and riders like Del Toro, Morgado are flying compared to him now. Gives me Contador - Jesus Henrnandez wibes
They know what they are gonna get from Novak and he has qualities on a good day as well. Either way, he is a team player and solid. Reliable for the tasks he will have, which are likely to serve the leader and the others for as long as he is there. Maybe do some pulls on the first capos and then he is done. Others will take over.

Morgado is still young and doing the above work would be meaningless to have him do. He is also too similar to riders like Narvaez and Wellens, who has more experience for this.

Likely Novak does dirty work. Laengen eats wind for a majority of the race. Politt to lead the team in the run-in to Cipressa, if capos are not raced very hard. Probably Narvaez + Del Toro on Cipressa and then you probably save Wellens a bit if Pog does not attack or doesnt get away enough there, so Wellens maybe pull a smaller group to Poggio or launch him in a last attempt if needed.

And if they really race capos hard and he tries to go solo from Cipressa... well it will be an epic attempt if nothing else.
 
Mar 20, 2022
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It's crazy how much talk on cycling's forums is about MSR since January. I think there would be like 80-90% less talk about it when Tadej wouldn't be part of it. He is best thing ever happened to this race. I think organizers also pray he doesn't win it.
This is so true. MSR always was the least important monument
 
Mar 20, 2022
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Only race remaining I wouldnt bet on him to steamroll as he pleases. His hardest puzzle to win to me, because this race is no attrition race, its piss easy, not even a training ride for Pogi for 85% of the distance.

(It’s so easy that 10-20 guys can win it, and luck plays a role, which ironically makes it hard to win. It also round out and diversify the monuments—theres something for everyone, which is good and how it should be imo.)

Let him win it like Messi won his World Cup at the end of his career. It would make the best story. And yes, you're obviously right.
Pedersen said he hates MSR because it is a race of 5 hours without doing anything. MSR, nowadays, is like jebel hafeet stage. Zone 1 ride and then a very hard effort.
 
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Jul 7, 2013
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Only race remaining I wouldnt bet on him to steamroll as he pleases. His hardest puzzle to win to me, because this race is no attrition race, its piss easy, not even a training ride for Pogi for 85% of the distance.

(It’s so easy that 10-20 guys can win it, and luck plays a role, which ironically makes it hard to win. It also round out and diversify the monuments—theres something for everyone, which is good and how it should be imo.)

Let him win it like Messi won his World Cup at the end of his career. It would make the best story. And yes, you're obviously right.

MSR is Teddy's kryptonite, the last hope for the rest of the world. If he wins it's over: MVP takes up skiing, Vingo resumes fishy stuff, Remco football etc.
 
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Sep 4, 2017
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Jan Christen would have been very handy if he was available. Better at positioning than Morgado so more likely to be in the right place and did a great turn in Lombardia last year in team support.
 
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Feb 20, 2012
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climbing time8:59 = average speed of 38.1km/h - (10.6m/s)
Power = eight x g x Gradient x speed. = 75x9.81 x 0.041 x 10.6 = 321W
rolling resistance 0.0004x 75 x 9.81 x 10.6= 31 W
drag CD x a x p x speed = 106 W

6.11W/kg assuming rider weight 75kg(inc bike) for time 8:59. More than doable if the conditions are okei. Its all about positioning though, 100% is key to do it.

And impossible ofc to get accurate W/kg with different riders but a benchmark for 75kg(inc bike) gives a estimate what they need to do, im 100% expecting sub 9min if the conditions are normal anything else will be a huge fail from UAE to me, given their incentive in the race. Theres no excuses with the riders on the bench to not get sub 9min.(that is if its not raining + headwind )

Second rider just removing the aero drag 100W + less, aprox 5.68W/kg ish. So drafting obv huge on a ''climb'' like cipressa.
137W to ride 38km/h is not at all plausible to me.
 
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Oct 30, 2023
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Jan Christen would have been very handy if he was available. Better at positioning than Morgado so more likely to be in the right place and did a great turn in Lombardia last year in team support.
Feels like UAE prioritized resources for PN and TA over MSR (at risk of furthering @mou's conspiracy ideas). Or maybe it's just bad luck and timing for the team to maximize resources for this monument.

But hey, if Pogi is going to win he has to cross the finish line first no matter what happens on the road.
 
Mar 20, 2022
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Jan Christen would have been very handy if he was available. Better at positioning than Morgado so more likely to be in the right place and did a great turn in Lombardia last year in team support.
Jan Christen would be a great addition. But he will be there in the Ardennes.
 
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Sep 4, 2017
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In my view you need to bring your rouleur/climber hybrids, so I'd bring the likes of Sivakov and Soler for this.
Sivakov looked way off the pace at PN and still not recovered from sickness. Soler yes but I think he prioritises his home race in Catalunya.
 
Oct 15, 2017
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In my view you need to bring your rouleur/climber hybrids, so I'd bring the likes of Sivakov and Soler for this.
Wellens and Narvaez are way more suited here. Especially with the fight for position and classics experience. This is their terrain as they are very all-round. More explosive.

Sivakov and Soler would be absolutely nowhere here and left in the dust.
 
Mar 20, 2022
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Wellens and Narvaez are way more suited here. Especially with the fight for position and classics experience. This is their terrain as they are very all-round. More explosive.

Sivakov and Soler would be absolutely nowhere here and left in the dust.
Only Vermeersch is missing IMHO. Team is good enough. Weather is more important since Pogi is a beast in wet conditions.
 
Oct 15, 2017
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Only Vermeersch is missing IMHO. Team is good enough. Weather is more important since Pogi is a beast in wet conditions.
I dont think you need both of Politt and Vermeersch. Politt has been good here and makes more sense right now.

I think the team is actually pretty well-composed, if it is Del Toro instead of McNulty.

Best of luck to Pog and chapeau to him for making this race interesting.
 
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Feb 12, 2025
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Feels like UAE prioritized resources for PN and TA over MSR (at risk of furthering @mou's conspiracy ideas). Or maybe it's just bad luck and timing for the team to maximize resources for this monument.

But hey, if Pogi is going to win he has to cross the finish line first no matter what happens on the road.
Its not a conspiracy theory anymore when everyone could see the team bringing a B team and leaving the A team at home. Its gianneti matxin master plan to hold him from PR so that he doesn't crash in this spring. Quite the iq, quite the master plan i guess👏
 
May 3, 2023
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Its not a conspiracy theory anymore when everyone could see the team bringing a B team and leaving the A team at home. Its gianneti matxin master plan to hold him from PR so that he doesn't crash in this spring. Quite the iq, quite the master plan i guess👏
The final team selection isn't decided, wait until Friday. They will give Pog a good enough team to go for the win.
 

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