Experience is irrelevant to level at a given time, Van der Poel wasn't half the rider he was in 2021 compared to now.
RVV is a race of fine margins that blow up once over the last Kwaremont, and fine margins fell Pogacar's way the last 2 times.
To me it's akin to claiming Nadal is superior to Djokovic at the US Open because of H2H in the finals, rather than looking at overall track record.
Experience is always important, but especially when it's not your usual terrain. And let's not conflate sports; running 100 meters isn't the same as a cycling race where knowing every corner of a cobbles section helps.
Tennis has its unique characteristics, cycling has others. And if there's one race where experience matters, it's the ones with the highest risk of accidents, such as cobblestone corners and secgtions entries.
In Roubaix, experience is very important, especially for someone who trains half the year for the TDF.
In Roubaix, knowing every corner helps.
I'm convinced that Pogacar, or Brenan, won't make the same mistakes they could have made yesterday in their second Roubaix.
The fact that he was so good in his debut is independent of the fact that experience is very important compared to riders who have been riding Roubaix for four years, plus four years of training. .
The experience of knowing every cobbled section, corner, isn't the same as doing watts on a climb. Winning in a mountain depends of w/k; but in a Roubaix experiencience help to avoid crashing on a cobbled corner,
know every corner....
Hinault punctured three times in his first Roubaix, had an accident... in the second, he had fewer incidents, in the third, fewer, and in the fourth, he won.
The fact that Pogacar is so good makes us overlook the importance of experience in a cobblestone race. That's a mistake.
Even Mathieu, who has won three consecutive Roubaix races, didn't win his first one and said he's learned from some mistakes. How can experience on cobblestones not be important for a TDF rider?
In 2022, Pogacar saw where he did the most damage in Flanders and where he needed to break away from Mathieu. If Pogacar had gone to Flanders in 2021, he'd probably have won in 2022.
Say that experience doesn't matter in cobbles race invalidates any debate.