Well I read through the entire post again and I'd argue I was at least right about Bernal. And concerning Roglic, I didn't claim he was outright bad, just that he shouldn't be the favorite for a race which he indeed didn't end up winning. The problem was really just that I also trashed the guy who ended up being the one to beat him. I honestly feel like my Dumoulin and Pinot takes were even worse than the Pogacar one, because I still think at the time he was more likely to be overrated than to become...well...that. But of course the Pogacar take is the one that is by far the most spectacularly stupid looking now.
I think the Pogacar take was outrageous at the time, too. I really didn't see what he could possible have done better.