I think Pog is going to win, or podium. I also think people are a bit too caught up in technicalities and they're forgetting who and what Pog is. He's a monster.
The only thing that can catch him out would be being in the wrong split or something. Or being too eager and attacking at the wrong moment. But IMO VdP's presence also makes it simpler for Pog tactically, i.e. just follow VdP and see what happens.
I'm sorry but if Pog is in top shape, he'll smoke WvA.
Cycling has changed. This isn't about weight, cobbles or specialists, this is about a guy with more power than Darth Sidious racing his bike.
Pog will be there or thereabouts the win. Just looking at top 10 finishers in recent years should tell you Pog will be close.