I also believe he has a better chance of getting a strong result if it rains. Tadej is a phenomenon when it comes to positioning during the race, which I think is far more important in the first 200 km of Paris–Roubaix than pure bike handling—where he’s also on par with the rest (except maybe MvDP). And in the rain, this would be amplified even more. His race positioning is mentioned too rarely—just look at how poorly all his teammates performed at E3, Gent–Wevelgem, Dwars door Vlaanderen, and the Tour of Flanders—mainly because of bad positioning.Of course there are more chances of crashes in PR if it is wet. But I'm the only one to think, his chances are bigger in a wet PR? Attritional race, luck can be more on his side (or not), he really delivers in wet conditions. He may have a disadvantage in bike handling compared to MVP, but I believe he can compensate that with his superior engine.