Looking at the PCS updates lots of riders are avoiding Pogacar. Beyond Remco and Jonas the field lacks a lot of depth whilst the field for Emilia is absolutely stacked with riders from the 2nd/3rd tiers looking to claim a notable win.In a short race, I think the weaker team will be more noticeable.
There will be more movement and many riders who fail at long distances will be better at 200 kilometer race.
On the Paris stage, apart from being exhausted, he had to cover Jorgenson and Van Aert attacks. Apart being at his limit that week of the Tour, that was what finished his options.
There won’t be that many viable riders to cover even with the shorter distance and duration being more palatable for many riders.