I still think the locks are Pogacar (duh), Almeida, Narvaez, Wellens, and Politt.
Del Toro would be nice to have as a replacement for Yates but I think he goes Giro/Vuelta (whichever Almeida doesn't target as a GC leader). I won't rule his Tour participation out though but that means he won't be a GC leader at a Grand Tour next year.
McNulty and Vine are nice replacements for Sivakov and Soler, especially with the TTT. As for your concern with Vine, he can just stay at the back in the chaotic stages and lose time in the gruppetto before doing the damage on the mountains. As for McNulty, with Pogi in the team, I don't think he'll have any problems working for him, especially after Pogi gifted him Montreal this year. Both Vine and McNulty are also nice breakaway stage hunters if UAE wants to greed for more stage wins.
I won't be surprised though if UAE just sends the same 2025 Tour team next year.