is not event B independent of event A?samhocking said:No, Leinders is the Variable (call it n).
Event A (Wiggins & Brailsford Olympic & Track Success for 10 years)
Event B (Wiggins & Brailsford Road Success for 2 years)
The argument is Event A has happened without (n), so who is Variable (n) in Event A to support theory that Variable n in Event B was the reason for it to happen/e claimed?
not quite.sniper said:the darkest part imo is how Sky used and will no doubt continue to use Txema's death as a pretext/excuse for the hiring of Leinders.
Imo that's in the same category as Armstrong's cancer shield.
thats not it.Wallace and Gromit said:Other than my Godson, I am quite possibly Sir Brad's biggest fan, but even so, I have to acknowledge that different riders respond differently to the same doping regime and it's quite possible that Sir Brad simply responded better to the regime than Leinders' previous riders. I'm not saying this is the case, but there is plenty of evidence of "super-responders", in particular, Lance. He wasn't the first rider that Ferrari had in his "workshop", but he responded particularly (uniquely?) well to the treatment.
Such super-responders aren't that common by definition (not everyone can be "super", obviously) and having Froome and Wiggins in that category in the same team at the same time might be considered unlikely, though again, not impossible.
blackcat said:is not event B independent of event A?
Event B does or does not need a preparatore. And the preparatore would contribute more or less or neutral. or, may even inverse (negative) effect.
I dont buy the Leinders thesis on this board.
Why?
Raimondas Rumsas. Edita Rumsas. motowoman.
Neutralise that 2003 TdF, or the one where Beloki was second, Rumsas third, neutralise the team timetrial of ONCE v Lampre.
Rumsas then beats Beloki for second. Think the time behing Armstrong sans TTT is ~3 minutes.
If Edita Rumsas can do it, you dont need LEinders. ergo, Sky's success =/= Leinders effect.
ok, track cycling, a very shallow pond.samhocking said:How did Event A happen then? Along comes Brailsford & Wiggins & Pendleton & Hoy after decades of GB failure on the track and become multiple Olympic & World champions in various events - repeatedly year after year! Move the structure of Team GB to the road and the same pattern looks to be happening. Sure it's going to be random in its success because that is the nature of road racing is, but it's overall a success, I would claim, to win Tour twice with two riders like they have.
Who was Variable n in Event A, this is my original question and it's entirely related to Event B because the two key players in the success of Event B are the same in Event A.
To put it another way, if Armstrong & Bruyneel had switched to track and become multiple champions like Wiggins did the other way, would you not consider the success of Armstrong on the road with Bruyneel related to similar success they both had on the track? I would.
It's a simple argument - Who is Brailsford's Ferrari/Leinders on the track to support claim on the road that this success is because of Leinders with the two key players consisten in both events.
well, they are like the ROW, athletes between themselves will share sources, protocols, techniques, resources, expertise, doctors.bobbins said:In the same way that I've heard the details of the road program, I've heard that the track program is squeaky clean.
That's not to say that there might be individuals doing their own thing but as far as a top down managed program goes, I have heard nothing to suggest that this exists with the track team.
samhocking said:Team Sky is largely Team GB though from the top down though? For a start up until 2012 Brailsford headed both and his key staff making any decisions are the same between Road & Track squads. Training camps, medical staff, doctors etc are shared by Team GB & Team Sky at the same time of the success in both camps. They are simply different sides of Brailsford's winning coin.
samhocking said:It's a simple argument - Who is Brailsford's Ferrari/Leinders on the track to support claim on the road that this success is because of Leinders with the two key players consisten in both events.
ebandit said:which book was that? have details been verified? was boardmans success
not earlier than brailsford / bc performance plan?
Mark L
samhocking said:So your argument blackcat is Team GB won and continue to win for a decade on the track because every other nation is simply weak and without investment, but when the same key players achieve it on the road it's because they are doping. Great logic there pal!
ebandit said:anyone else know the answer to my ? re diggers post which mentioned but
did not name book stating that boardman used EPO
thanks!
Mark L
samhocking said:If something written in a book claiming he took EPO means more than the daily time-limit chasing Tour rider he was day after day at Tour de France it's an odd claim to make. I mean was he such a bad rider that he could only just scrape the time limits even on epo alongside the sprinters and doms one day and then smash a fastest TT the next. EPO is not a button you switch on and off for success, it's much longer term than that before you notice effects. Maybe Boardman was clever and rode the mountain stages on his own chasing the time limit just so nobody would be suspicious when he smashed everyone in the TT the following day lol!
ebandit said:anyone else know the answer to my ? re diggers post which mentioned but
did not name book stating that boardman used EPO
thanks!
Mark L
bobbins said:To succeed on the track, all they needed to do was invest money and be sensible with it as far as getting the best coaches etc went.
On the road, there's more to it than that, as their first year demonstrated.
There is a lot more scrutiny on the track team and it would be much harder to hide or lose a positive.
del1962 said:Alledgedly in the book Prisonnier du dopage by Phillipe Gaumont, its in French.
samhocking said:So, you're basically claiming then, if you take a weak rider and naive manager with cash from a weak pool of track cycling success in UK and simply add Leinders from Rabobank and try and win Tour de France, you can win it just 6 months later, despite your opposition team managers having a combined expedience of perhaps 100 years winning the same event through the dark history of doping in road cycling you claim is not so easy to do like the track because all it takes to win on the track is investment and coaches?
bobbins said:Sorry, where did I say this?
I said that the track team is clean. They achieved their results through funding enabling better preparation and to be able to afford better coaches. The track circuit is also a small world with limited opposition.
The Sky road team isn't, for many reasons mentioned elsewhere.
samhocking said:Maybe Boardman was clever and rode the mountain stages on his own chasing the time limit just so nobody would be suspicious when he smashed everyone in the TT the following day lol!
samhocking said:You're implying Team Sky is not the same as Team GB because you say Team GB only wins on the track because all it takes there is preparation and to be able to afford better coaches to get wins without doping. Yet, those same coaches, staff and riders with no experience of doping from that track success simply have added Leinders to the staff list and 6 months is all it takes of doping and bingo the magic formula to beat all the other teams proven to be doping just like Leinders doped Rabobank can be beaten so easily? I assume that's where relating how Sky ride like Postal domination comes from huh?
If the two are unrelated and the only difference is Leinders, why did Leinders magic not work with an experienced road team like Rabobank over 14 years but did with an inexperience non-doping track team coming over to the road to win Tour de France in just 6 months. This is what doesn't add up. It's not simply luck to win Tour de France twice.
Wallace and Gromit said:Boardman never "smashed" a TT in a major stage race though. In the last ITT in 1996 (his best year) he was 2:29 down on Ullrich and in both the 1999 ITTs he was circa 3:30 down on Lance.
samhocking said:I'm referring to his fastest ever TT in 1994 as the smash. He was hanging off the back on every climb and only scraping time limits after that and Indurain beat him by over 5 minutes in the longer TT. Must have been great EPO he was on : )