sittingbison said:
krebs this is where you are wrong. I'm not sure if you are deliberately misinterpreting, or just being overly zealous. I have said that in those years 2004-2008 that you keep posting select results from, he was in the broom cart. I have also said those results have no bearing on now, as supposedly his specific gym work, his optimised road training program, and 12kg weight loss have transformed him from the trackie of yesteryear into a GC contender today.
One or both of us is clearly misinterpreting something.
I understand that he was in the "broom cart" a regular "autobus-farer" etc etc in stages races between 2004-2008. But what does that prove about his actual physiological capability as a cyclist? Almost nothing because team tactics play a role in stage racing. If you are not chasing a high GC placing where you actually end up on GC can be quite random. Cancellara was also a regular autobus-farer over exactly the same timeframe and nobody doubts his physiological capacity. Furthermore, from 2004-2008 Wiggins was heavier and therefore not suited to climbing. You keep dismissing the weight issue as Lance propaganda which is simply wrong. Power to weight ratio is vitally important for the mountains.
I have been selecting TT results because there is NO confounding influence of racing unknowns (eg: crashes, mechanicals etc) and team tactics, and if you check both short TTs such as prologues or long road TT results which are NOT in stage races (and thus subject to team tactics), then the raw undeniable fact is that Wiggins was world class. In my definition world class is top 10 at world championship level. He did that both in 2005 and 2007. When you combine this with his track pedigree, it is clear and undeniable that Wiggins has one of the biggest engines the world has ever seen. You might not like it, I certainly don't because he is a pom and I'm an aussie, but I can call spade a spade when I see one.
And how can you possibly say results from 2004-2008 have no bearing on what has happened from 2009-2012? If someone demonstrates they are world class in long TTs and the undisputed #1 in 4km pursuit, then it has EVERYTHING to do with his performances from 2009-2012. To repeat, it means that Wiggins must have one of the biggest aerobic engines ever.
I would not be surprised at all if Jack Bobridge says to himself, "well if Wiggins can do it, then maybe I can too" and in 5yrs time we see him top 10 in a GT. He was 5th in the UCI TT world championships last year, 1'10" behind Cancellara. The kid clearly also has a v12 turbo
You cant have it both ways, unless you have your gateau and eat it too. When he was concentrating on track he couldn't climb or compete GC because the discipline, training and physiologies are completely different. Now he is concentrating on the road, would not the assumption be he would lose some of the track ability ie not perform in the prologue at the same levels as before?
This stuff is just nitpicking. There are lots of results which show that the best long TT'ers are generally also the best short TT'ers. What we would expect is that between 2004-2008 when Wiggins was #1 on the track, is that he would not be #1 in a long TT, but would be closer in a short TT. This is EXACTLY what history shows. In long TTs he was 2-4% behind Cancellara (which is normal variation), but in prologues it was more like 1-2%. I think you would be 100% correct in saying that at present Wiggins would not be at his best in the pursuit any longer. There is a strong chance he would be a couple of percent down. But that still equates to one of the best in a prologue. Besides, last year Bobridge showed us that it is possible and perhaps even likely. He was #1 in the world over 4km but 1'13 back on Cancellara over 46km. I guarantee you that if Bobridge starts riding more stage races over the next few years he will win prologues.
Secondly, you are repeating another falsehood. The training and physiologies are not completely different between track endurance and road. The training is not perfectly equal, but there is a high degree of overlap. The physiology could be identical and so the small differences in performance (ie: road vs track) could be 100% attributable to the differences in training. The simple fact remains, you cannot be undisputed #1 fastest man on the planet over 4km without a giant engine to begin with.
Thirdly, again with the can't climb can't place high in GC prior to 2009. So what? We ALL know he was heavier. It was not his job to climb and chase a high GC place. This doesn't tell us anything about his physiology.
As we in Australia all know, Brad McGee and StuO et al managed the jump from track to road, but at the expense of their track abilities. And What of Rogers? Three time World ITT champ who is now a magnificent climber but can no longer compete with the big boys in ITT. Why? His weight loss?
Once again, there is a price to pay, and Wiggo has not paid it.
Again, what the hell planet are you on? Rogers was 8th at the 2008 olympcs, 2'35" behind Cancellara and 5th at the UCI TT world championships in 2010, 2'24" behind Cancellara.
One more time for the dummies, stage race placing and TT results must be viewed with a degree of caution due to team tactics. They do not indicate performance unless we know for certain the athlete is racing for the best time possible.
You aren't even both to check results before you start posting all this crap.