Basso was a monster at the Giro but there was a question mark regarding a fatigue factor following that race. However, if you recall 2005 Basso was targeting Giro as well and was very strong in that race (but his chances were gone due to a stomach bug). Still he managed to prepare a very good form for the Tour (albeit mostly in the second half of the race). It's hard to say who would have won the Tour in 2006 - Ullrich most of the time had some form/crashes issues in that race in the second half of his career so it's not a given it would have been a smooth sailing for him. If Basso had been still very close to his Giro 2006 it would have been his victory methinks - his mountain level was amazing and he wouldn't have lost much time during TTs.
What spoke for Ulle certainly was his team. They were on fire.
If you see how Honchar beat everyone in the two long ITTs… Jan would have destroyed everyone in these TTs… He was so much better than he was already in Pontedera in spring.
Kessler in Valkenburg, Klöden - the team was 100% ready.
I remember Klöden saying after TdF 2006, „(…) and with Jan, we would have won this TdF 2006 100% sure.“. Klöden had no doubts.
He was absolutely on track. Climbing super on Albula in TdS. Destroying everyone in Berne in the TdS TT. Skinny, and motivated.
The guys were good friends. Rogers, Sinkewitz, Kessler, Jan, Sevilla, and so on. Jan had the men around him he wanted to have. He had Rudy in the car. Everything was ready.
T-Mobile and CSC with Basso wouldn‘t have allowed Pereiro 30mins. And would have controlled Landis.
I actually dream of Jan in the last TT of this Tour, catching Basso (his three minute man) just like Virenque in 1997.
Just imagine Jan doing this to Basso, with his 88x3 gearing. Basso would have gone onto his knees on the finish line, and praised the Kaiser…