powderpuff said:
Hands up those who think Cadel should still bypass the TdF for the Giro. TTT and low ITT kms definitely will be big factor in that decision.
I was actually going to start a thread along the lines of: who do we want to see ride the Giro (i.e. people who don't usually).
I still think Cadel should ride it (so should sastre, and maybe even frank schleck becoz he aint gonna win a tour any time soon, gesink, nibali, chris horner).
The reason I think he should ride it is mainly for preparation, but if he finds himself in a good position after 2 weeks, he can have a real dig. A bit like with the Vuelta this year, he said, i'll ride to prepare for worlds, but if i'm going well i'll have a crack (after donning the golden fleece, he decided he could have a good chance at it - unfortunately a puncture ruined that tho).
Anyway, i'm not sure he can win this (I think he can podium - seriously), but just a few points to throw out there about our man Cadel:
i) He is losing his TT a little bit (since 2007) and the Giro is droppign the TTkms
ii) He can ride a mountain TT (fastest split up the 4km climb in the ITT at the TDF - 5th fastest up the 7.5km hill in prologue TT at TDF)
iii) I'm starting to think, lots of climbs in one stage suit him (better than the one MTF they use in the TDF - the vuelta stages that were long and multiple climbs served him well)
iv) There is less pressure on him to win the Giro
v) As far as I know, Italians like him (or don't dislike him as much as others - maybe becoz of his smokin' hot italian wife)
vi) His body is more suited to really long hard stages (which we only saw a few of at the TDF, but he was sick and couldn't compete)
vii) If he rides the TDU, and as he said, he wants to peak earlier in the season, then a second peak later (this suggests to me a crack at the Giro/Vuelta in 2010 - as many of us suggested after his Vuelta/Worlds this year) he will be in form during May.
viii) Love him or hate him, it would be very dissapointing for this guy to not have a GT win once he retires
ix) He can't beat AC or AS at the TDF 2010
x) He has always shown that he can beat Menchov in stage races (except 2007 Vuelta - but that was a fresh Menchov vs a worn out Cadel) and if Menchov has the pressure on him, Cadel can take advantage of this
Sorry for the usual Cadel bias, but even though the course looks hard for a guy like Cadel, he is very very different to the rider we saw challenge AC in 2007, he is losing his TT specialism and climbed with the best at the Vuelta. Only downside is a TTT in the Giro, but even if that fuqs his chances, the Giro is still great preparation for the Tour, considering his formula of 3-4 week long stage races and the Ardennes classics hasn't yielded a GT win yet.