lancaster said:about half of my top 20 have a pretty low chance of finishing in the top 50 after 4 stages.
also cav is a big bust for me.
doesn't look like ima win this
boomcie said:According to my own calculations The Amateur is currently worst off in the long run, followed by Sasquatch and Foxxy. Things might change quickly though and I didn't take stage wins into consideration.
These are just quick and random parameters and I could have made mistakes, so don't worry guys
FoxxyBrown1111 said:But i do worry now, even tough JRod. just won the stage...
boomcie said:I was cheering for Purito cause I was sure I had picked him, but apparently I picked Sagan... WTF, I must not have looked into this stage very well.
Yeah, that was "funny".
Following riders could turn out to be good picks:
Poels, Bruseghin, Zubeldia, Fuglsang, Pardilla, Cobo.
Some of these will most definitely break though. Probably Poels.
BTW, Poels seems a real great secret pick. Never imagined he could be a 3-Week-Contender. My usual "insider" was (hopefully) Bakelants. Today he was good. I think i saw him finishing with the big guys after a soso yesterday.
Seems you are good in computers, may you can make a little programming for next year so we can see which picks look good in the middle of the GT´s...
FoxxyBrown1111 said:@ Boomcie and Amateur,
how in the world did you guys know about Poels?
FoxxyBrown1111 said:Foxxy 3 (don´t know why you counted me out, Boomcie )
boomcie said:You win some you lose some.
Me messing up yesterday (still don't understand it) already cancels out the potential Poels top 20.
I don't believe in Bakelants and Le Mevel for instance. I also took into account the wild cards. You don't have as many.
But it's looking up for you and I probably overstated myself a little
The Amateur said:Well, I won't be a thread to annyone. It just went to fast making my team... Too many riders I forgot to include - and too many stages I didn't look closely at the profile.
I think it was at Tour de Suisse last year I noticed Poels the first time for real. I see him as a big talent but actually don't expect him to do that good in this year's Vuelta. He is very young to do two grand tours. He came in to the Vuelta in good form (bested Rollands on a mountain stage I think) but will probably tire. I counted on him doing a breakaway later thus gaining a lot of minutes. I thought he might even fight for the KOM. Since he is high in the GC at this stage he'll probably just slowly drop out of top 20.
- The Amateur
FoxxyBrown1111 said:Cobo was a great pick by Sylvester... for nothing.
I think about this since long: May next year the rules will be improved to this; If a predicted stage winner finishes in the Top-3 of a stage the player will receive 0,5 points (too little points were scored this year for stages compared to the Top-20).
The WC-Rule will be completely removed, making predictions even harder.
If a predicted Top-20 rider just finishes outside the Top-20 (Place 21st - 30th) in the Final-CG, the player will also receive 0,5 points. That makes the game more fair. What you think guys?