we have discussed Lance's prep and fitness in depth, so here is a blog posting by Carmichael with his point of view:
http://www.facebook.com/mastertheshift?v=app_122134447813895
A few relevant sections:
"...and his early-season racing results were right where we wanted him to be. He had a strong performance at the Tour of Flanders and was looking forward to some additional race days after that, until he came down with a stomach bug. The bug was pretty bad, but the timing made the impact on his training even greater. He missed a few races that were necessary for gaining the fitness to achieve subsequent goals. If he had gotten a stomach bug during a long block between races, it wouldn’t have been such a big deal"
"So Lance returned to the US, recovered from the stomach bug, and we reformulated his Tour preparation to include more time at altitude and another trip to Gila."
"I’ve had plenty of questions about Lance’s performance at Gila, which was notable because he wasn’t with the leaders on some of the bigger climbs. He was at the end of a big high-altitude training block and he had great fitness, but he was also carrying a lot of fatigue and it showed in a lack of punch on the big climbs. As expected, following some recovery after the race, that fatigue melted away and his recent performance tests show that his power numbers are actually ahead of this time last year, when he was just returning to competition following the broken collarbone."
"Lance’s personal goal is to see a positive adaptation during the race itself. He’ll be good at the beginning and much better by the end. The TOC is not as long as the Tour of Italy, but we’re looking for a significant bump in Lance’s power numbers as a result of 8 days of hard racing."