FrankDay said:
Thanks for the "clarification". So, let me see if I understand it right after the clarification. I take it your feeling has to do with triathletes and specificity. I take it you think that Ironman athletes are always doing 5-6 hour training rides and never doing shorter length, higher effort rides such that it is difficult for them to assess their FTP, is that correct?
No, I did not say that either.
FrankDay said:
While I don't think most triathletes train in such a manner, even if that were the case, why would that interfere with their knowing their FTP.
Well since I never said they do, I'm not suggesting it would.
Frank, I said I would not be surprised if such an athlete didn't (because quite clearly some don't). I did not however say that would be the case for everyone.
Your implication I have said otherwise, along with attempts to put words in my mouth, is disingenuous.
FrankDay said:
Don't people use their FTP to predict what they can sustain for 5 hours? Why can't it work backwards and use their 5 hour power to predict their 1 hour power? Is going that way less accurate?
Pithy Power Proverb:
"The best predictor of performance is performance itself." - Andy Coggan
It should be pretty obvious that the further you move from one known point on the mean maximal power curve, the estimation error is likely to increase, be it with respect to answering one of the following questions:
- how long could I sustain X% of FTP (or any specific power value, such as MAP or 20-min max or whatever you like)
- what % of FTP (or any specific power value) could I sustain for Y duration?
Now we also know that at longer durations, the MMP curve is pretty flat, so while there will be an error, it's typically within a certain range.
So yes, one can use one power-duration value and estimate another. Indeed earlier in this thread I indicated on the basis of the IM power file shown being accurate, what I thought this rider's FTP was more likely to be. It's a reasonable guesstimate. If such a rider wanted to know, then of course better protocols exist to do that.
As for IM specifically, well we also need to keep in mind that a rider isn't racing at their mean maximal power for the duration.
If a rider does happen to know their FTP, then we know empirically (not scientifically) there is a typical range of TSS for an IM bike leg that is often associated with good IM performance for that athlete (i.e. a good run).
FrankDay said:
But, back to the original question, does knowing the FTP (or any fitness/power metric) help the athlete in any way? Does not knowing the FTP (or any other fitness/power metric) hurt the athlete in any way? According to Coach Fergie using a power meter is the only reliable way (or, at least, the best) to assess fitness. I can see how such information might be useful if one is trying to compare athletes but the usefulness of this information in helping the individual athlete is lost on me. Because there is no power data it would seem that Coach Fergie would be afraid to hazard a guess as to the fitness or capabilities of Stefanie Adam because she doesn't train or race with a power meter because there are no power numbers to compare to last week, month, or year or to anyone else. I wonder how she knows if she is any good or not? What could she possibly use to pace herself? How much better would she be if she used a power meter?
Measuring the progress of an athlete's ability to sustain power over durations of relevance helps in many ways. If the training is not helping them improve, then one should consider changing the training.
Power is an excellent means to do this because of its objectiveness as an indicator. If you choose to use other means, that's fine but keep in mind the more subjective an indicator you use, and/or the more an indicator is subject to external and uncontrollable factors, the more likely you'll gain a false impression of how you are actually tracking, and as a result increase the chances of making poor decisions about training.
As for pacing, power is not the only tool one can use, and quite clearly a rider's perceptions of effort level is also an effective tool. Indeed the combination of power and perceived exertion is an excellent mix.
Pithy Power Proverb:
"Power calibrates PE, PE modulates power." - Charles Howe