Teams & Riders The Remco Evenepoel is the next Eddy Merckx thread

[red_flanders]

Y oh y of all races are we discussing FW with Remco?

it is probably the least likely race on his schedule that he will perform well.

I think you answered your own question!

 

[Blanco]

Remco in great form could win Fleche if he goes early on the Mur I believe, even if he is not as explosive as some others. He could tire the others out to the point they cant sprint past him, but he would have to be super-strong that day. I dont think that is too farfetched though. It might/could happen in the future.

Someone like Ala can just have a bad day also.

No, I don't think he can. Only if he get a significant head start which is not going to happen. The likes of Roglic, Pogacar, Valverde, etc will easily give him 5-10 sec in that finishing 300-400 m.
Only way he could win is by going earlier, before the last Mur.

 

[Salvarani]

No, I don't think he can. Only if he get a significant head start which is not going to happen. The likes of Roglic, Pogacar, Valverde, etc will easily give him 5-10 sec in that finishing 300-400 m.
Only way he could win is by going earlier, before the last Mur.

Whats great about the future is we dont know

 

[18-Valve. (pithy)]

I think you answered your own question!

That seems to be what most people think, but Roche au Faucons could be a problem for Evenepoel, with Pog and others in freak form. The pace will be brutal. I think he'll do better in FW.

 

[red_flanders]

That seems to be what most people think, but Roche au Faucons could be a problem for Evenepoel, with Pog and others in freak form. The pace will be brutal. I think he'll do better in FW.

I was just having a joke that all things RE must be discussed ad infinitum...and I'm as guilty as anyone.

That said, I think LBL suits him better than FW. I think there are more avenues for the win. He did pretty well on the steeps at Lombardy and San Sebastian IIRC. Where in FW he just doesn't have the closing sprint to compete that way, and his only avenue is a long breakaway.

What's the record for abbreviations in a post?

 

[RedheadDane]

So, errr... looks like the people over at PCS don't think he'll be doing UAE Tour...

10/01	removed	EVENEPOEL Remco
10/01	removed	EVENEPOEL Remco
10/01	removed	EVENEPOEL Remco
10/01	removed	EVENEPOEL Remco
10/01	removed	EVENEPOEL Remco

They gotta stop it with the cloning!

 

[Walter1234]

Remco's power numbers seem too high for such a small time difference meaning that either the numbers aren't accurate (not the first time) or that Ilan did the first part of the climb in Remco's wheel ...

Or they put Remco on a 25Kg bike, or Remco is back to his soccer players weight ;-).

 

[Mayomaniac]

Or they put Remco on a 25Kg bike, or Remco is back to his soccer players weight ;-).

 

[Sandisfan]

There was talk here last year about Eddy riding and taking lessons regarding off road, gravel, cobbles and downhill riding in general. He looked good on that one Fall Italian race going downhill pretty fast. I haven't heard of any Bike handling work being done this last several weeks, other than short gravel ride late in the year. Just wondering.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

There was talk here last year about Eddy riding and taking lessons regarding off road, gravel, cobbles and downhill riding in general. He looked good on that one Fall Italian race going downhill pretty fast. I haven't heard of any Bike handling work being done this last several weeks, other than short gravel ride late in the year. Just wondering.

Unfortunately i haven't heard anything about him doing specific CX or other training as he was supposedly going to do this winter (since last winter, which was initially planned, he was busy with his recovery from the crash). Maybe him and Vanthourenhout (who was supposed to help him with the CX training) not really on the best of terms, has put the entire idea on the backburner?

 

[Carrick-On-Seine]

Unfortunately i haven't heard anything about him doing specific CX or other training as he was supposedly going to do this winter (since last winter, which was initially planned, he was busy with his recovery from the crash). Maybe him and Vanthourenhout (who was supposed to help him with the CX training) not really on the best of terms, has put the entire idea on the backburner?

Stybar would have been the guy to help but he doesn't seem to have done any cross himself this winter either.

 

[stonerider]

Stybar would have been the guy to help but he doesn't seem to have done any cross himself this winter either.

Makes me wonder if Stybar's heart condition is the reason he didn't do any CX. I'd like to see Wout's max heart rate from a CX race compared to a road race. It's got to be stressful on an athlete.

 

[tobydawq]

Makes me wonder if Stybar's heart condition is the reason he didn't do any CX.

I seriously doubt it...

 

[stonerider]

I seriously doubt it...

I guess he's just old now then.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

The evolution of Remco Evenepoel: 'He has learned he cannot take five steps forward in a row forever'

The QuickStep-AlphaVinyl rider is targeting Grand Tour glory at the Vuelta a España in 2022

www.cyclingweekly.com

 

[Netserk]

A good schedule and a good winter without problems, so we should get a good impression of his climbing talents this year. No Les Forges in Liège, so it's straightforward that he should attack on/just after La Redoute. I certainly have higher expectations for him in Liège (where he has an outside chance to win) than Tirreno and Itzulia (where I think he's likely in the 3rd-6th range). I'm not sure what to expect of Suisse, but I think it's fair to say that with this program the measure of a successful Vuelta is the podium? That he at least in one mountain stage shows elite level climbing? If no illness, crashes etc., what would it take before he disappointed (whatever post-hoc unreasonable expectations one might have), Logic?

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

What it would take, for me personally you mean?

Think it would depend on the situation, who he's facing, which type of climb, which race etc. Overall i'd say if he were dropped and lost considerable time, that would be a big disappointment tbh. We know he doesn't have a punch like the Slovenians, so getting dropped somewhere in the final 500 meters and losing 10s i wouldn't call that disappointing. If he gets dropped early, but doesn't lose extra time after the initial drop, would also not be much of an issue for me. On the other hand, i would also be disappointed if he couldn't drop non-top climbers (say guys like Bouwman, Konrad, Elissonde...) on a long climb, assuming that would be intended.

I think we can all agree his candle was dying halfway the Giro, and so it might be easy to forget, that he was still with the "main" group on Zoncolan until Benal's attack around the final 1k (i think), and well ahead of guys like Valter and Foss. He lost 18s on Vlasov, 28s on Bardet... Considering the circumstances, imho that was an encouraging effort, even though people were too busy mocking him for it. It was his first GT, after 2 weeks, his age, his injury, his recovery, preparation and dwindling form taken into account, that was already an indication imho.

What would it take before he confirmed or even impressed, Netserk?

 

[Netserk]

What it would take, for me personally you mean?

Think it would depend on the situation, who he's facing, which type of climb, which race etc. Overall i'd say if he were dropped and lost considerable time, that would be a big disappointment tbh. We know he doesn't have a punch like the Slovenians, so getting dropped somewhere in the final 500 meters and losing 10s i wouldn't call that disappointing. If he gets dropped early, but doesn't lose extra time after the initial drop, would also not be much of an issue for me. On the other hand, i would also be disappointed if he couldn't drop non-top climbers (say guys like Bouwman, Konrad, Elissonde...) on a long climb, assuming that would be intended.

I think we can all agree his candle was dying halfway the Giro, and so it might be easy to forget, that he was still with the "main" group on Zoncolan until Benal's attack around the final 1k (i think), and well ahead of guys like Valter and Foss. He lost 18s on Vlasov, 28s on Bardet... Considering the circumstances, imho that was an encouraging effort, even though people were too busy mocking him for it. It was his first GT, after 2 weeks, his age, his injury, his recovery, preparation and dwindling form taken into account, that was already an indication imho.

What would it take before he confirmed or even impressed, Netserk?

Over the whole season, given no illness and injuries etc.

Sounds like you have quite low expectations (do you really think he is so bad that no higher expectations than that are reasonable?), and it doesn't seem like you think he can challenge the best in the Vuelta.

I wrote my expectations in the post you quoted. They were quite clear and explicit. If he does even better than that, then he would have impressed me quite a bit.

In a hypothetical scenario were the coming Vuelta had the same field and route as the previous one, I would be disappointed if he did worse than Haig, but impressed if he was at a level similar to Mas and delivered an elite climbing performance (like Mas did on Velefique).

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

Over the whole season, given no illness and injuries etc.

Sounds like you have quite low expectations (do you really think he is so bad that no higher expectations than that are reasonable?), and it doesn't seem like you think he can challenge the best in the Vuelta.

I wrote my expectations in the post you quoted. They were quite clear and explicit. If he does even better than that, then he would have impressed me quite a bit.

In a hypothetical scenario were the coming Vuelta had the same field and route as the previous one, I would be disappointed if he did worse than Haig, but impressed if he was at a level similar to Mas and delivered an elite climbing performance (like Mas did on Velefique).

You asked me what it would take for me to be disappointed. So that's what i answered. What i expect is him to be better overall than climbers like Vlasov and Carthy or guys generally their level, unless they should hugely improve on their previous climbing achievements. What i hope is for him not to lose more time than he could potentially make up for in a TT.

 

[Netserk]

So he should be able to win a MTF like Angliru in a GT and get on the final podium? Or what does it mean to be better overall than climbers like Carthy?

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

So he should be able to win a MTF like Angliru in a GT and get on the final podium? Or what does it mean to be better overall than climbers like Carthy?

Given the circumstances yes. Carthy doesn't do that every time in any situation, which is why i said "generally".

 

[Andre]

If he wins La Vuelta I would not be shocked. That's my level of expectation. If he has no accidents or mechanicals and places below top 20, I would be disappointed. "mechanicals" should be added into Webster's.

 

[Netserk]

If he has no accidents or mechanicals and places below top 20, I would be disappointed.

Go easy with the lofty expectations. Surely even a 30th place in GC wouldn't necessarily be disappointing, even if it wasn't caused by any accidents.

 

[Hugo Koblet]

I expect him to at least fight for a podium spot in all the stage races he does, including the Vuelta. In the one day races I don't have as high expectations for a result because of variance and I think stage races suit him better, but I do expect him to be one of the protagonists in most races one way or another.

 

[Red Rick]

Roughly, top 5 would be good, lower half of the top 10 would be kinda meh. Lower would just be disappointing.