Tour de France Tour de France 2021, Stage 18: Pau – Luz Ardiden, 129.7 km

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I think it depends on how you determine the surprising nature really.

That Giro was incredibly unexpected and for pure surprise factor it's unequalled, but it ended up being a function of basically all the favourites imploding, and in a way became everyone's game.

If you told me before this tour that only Roglic of the big favourites was going to have a major issue I'd not believe for a second that JV was going to be on the podium, and this was certainly not the option I'd have jumped to if you told me they managed it

I certainly didn't expect Jumbo to make the podium without Roglic either, but it was pretty clear to me that Van Aert, Kuss and Kruijswijk would have a worse chance than Vingegaard to achieve it even before the race started.
Is the team thinking that Mohoric and Ala can gain 5 minutes on the descent of the Tourmalet and then hold out climbing Luz?

Juul Jensen caught again. Having climbed both, I can confirm that this one is a little bigger than the Long Road through Kilmacanogue.