Tour de France Tour de France 2021, Stage 7: Vierzon – Le Creusot, 249.1 km

[Pulpstar]

Why are Total Energie chasing ?

 

[BlueRoads]

Even if he could limit his losses in mountains (which imo is impossible to happen), do you really think he's gonna race until Paris? Cause I really doubt it, considering how Tokyo is important for him and how much freedom he has inside his team.

Lol, I'm pretty sure if he has a chance of winning the Tour after two weeks he will be okay with lowering his chances for Tokyo...

 

[roundabout]

So if you have a 70% shot of winning the Tour, you don't want to give someone a 10% shot (say, giving Nibali 10 minutes) and lowing your odds to 60%. If you have 5% at winning the Tour, giving someone that 10% is pretty irrelevant. The trickier math is that by chasing so hard UAE might lower that 70% chance to 65%. But it's still better than handing someone a 10% chance, so you do it. But on the flip side since UAE is tiring themselves out, other teams have even less of an incentive to work.

So yeah, if you're the clearcut favorite your incentives are different. That's the intuition behind the maillot jaune's tam drives the peloton tradition.

I understand your logic, but my maths would be different. I think there is a bigger risk to a Tour win in leaving Pogacar isolated in the next few days than givinf Nibali or Van Aert additional time on GC.

 

[Norks74]

Why are Total Energie chasing ?

Must be some agreement with UAE? Paid to chase..

 

[Netserk]

Good attack by Campenaerts.

 

[Gigs_98]

Even if he could limit his losses in mountains (which imo is impossible to happen), do you really think he's gonna race until Paris? Cause I really doubt it, considering how Tokyo is important for him and how much freedom he has inside his team.

Of course I'm only talking of the hypothetical (and admittedly unlikely) case where he does climb well. Do you really think he would exit the Tour while before the third week if he is in yellow? Absolutely no way.

 

[jarvo]

are there green jersey points at the line today? Cav trying to stick to the end if there is

 

[Devil's Elbow]

And this is why inviting wildcard teams based on nationality is utter trash.

 

[limak_]

Lol, I'm pretty sure if he has a chance of winning the Tour after two weeks

Let's be real here. It's not going to happen.

 

[titan31]

Teunnissen is just annoying me at this stage. I'm overweight and I'd have been more help to WVA in this break.

 

[DJ Sprtsch]

Why did Teunissen go in the break?

 

[jarvo]

nope! Cav done

 

[Tobi]

this stage is amazing

 

[glassmoon]

*** you TDE!

 

[Eclipse]

This is lovely stuff, real quality and real pace and still some aggressive action from a long way out from the break too

 

[saganftw]

jesus christ, TDE have their own ambitions? preposterous, they are ruining my fun

 

[limak_]

Do you really think he would exit the Tour while before the third week if he is in yellow? Absolutely no way.

If that would even happen, then I expect him to drop hard on the first big mountain in week 3 and leave the race just after this.

 

[Netserk]

The hill starts at ~43 km to go. The crossers will move there.

 

[spalco]

Hirschi went from leader at DSM ordinary domestique at UAE

Today would have been a possible stage for him too...

 

[Pricey_sky]

are there green jersey points at the line today? Cav trying to stick to the end if there is

Obviously doesn’t matter to him now, but there are points at the end of every stage.

 

[HelloDolly]

I think people write off Nibali at their peril

Oh my man for the win Stuyven is charging

 

[Breezy1985]

And this is why inviting wildcard teams based on nationality is utter trash.

Are you against teams riding ?
Would you prefer wildcards just sit in the bunch ?

 

[Eyeballs Out]

TDE riding will just slow the peloton down

 

[roundabout]

Surprised that 2 good roleurs had a gap closed on them relatively easily in favorable terrain. Maybe the group behind still has a chance if van der Poel goes rar somehwere around Autun

 

[Pricey_sky]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1410953306831269890

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