My predictions:
- a hard fight between many riders for the breakaway (the stage is only 157km, so everyone who is at +5 minutes and doesn't want to get caught in crashes on the cobbles, will want to escape)
- No Cort in the breakaway;
- action/nervousness in the peloton starting on the first cobbles (secteur 11), and if not, for sure on secteur 10 (downhill section = chance there are crashes). From the most Southernly point they ride North / North east. Wind is coming from the West. So many sections will be exposed. From the 3rd section, there's only around 50K (or the equivalent of an hour) to race. So from that point, I can't see it slowing down anymore, and I'm hoping for a breathless hour of all-out racing with some crosswinds and hopefully not too much crashes and mechanicals...