Even up I don't think there is much difference between the two at this point; too close to call for me. If I was forced to pick, barring disaster I'd say Pog by 5 seconds; further stalemate before the real showdown Wednesday.
The average speed between the two intermediates was supposedly 68kph for the fastest riders in spite of that section featuring a climb, which leaves 22k at 38.2kph for Roglic for the remaining two sections. I have my doubts...What does the 2021 Vuelta average look like if you substract 11km at 50kph?
You are probably right, I didn't think through my estimation hard enough.No shot. Bergen 2017 was 41.6kph for Dumoulin on a route with relatively less climbing and more flat (D+ is nearly identical but it's compacted into 3/4 of the distance here).
Conversely, Chorges 2013 was 37.2kph for Froome and this TT is slightly closer to Bergen than that IMO, so 40kph seems a decent shout. 40kph exactly is 33:36.
I hope it will be dry..... the last thing I'd like to see is riders taking risks and falling on a slippery surface.
Is there any word on the forecast?
Pog is training a bike change, while Vinge and Wout are not. Would be funny if it was just to confuse Jumbo into their own bike changes.
I think TT bikes are still @ about 8kg, while the climbing bikes are 6.8kg the minimum they can be. Is it worth the lost seconds with the exchange?
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Based on weight alone, definitely not worth it. Pog must not like the position for climbing.Pog is training a bike change, while Vinge and Wout are not. Would be funny if it was just to confuse Jumbo into their own bike changes.
I think TT bikes are still @ about 8kg, while the climbing bikes are 6.8kg the minimum they can be. Is it worth the lost seconds with the exchange?
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No, Not tomorrow... we should have rain on Loze not tomorrow...Thunderstorms possible
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Just 2 minutes between gc riders? Rodriguez is completly screwed because he will be caught. These are good news to Pogacar, he will have a target.
In the final TT in the Giro, a bike change was more or less compulsory. You were not allowed to go up to Monte Lussari with a timetrial bike. Hence the dedicated zone to change.Are the rules different here than they were at the Giro? Where the climbing bike was waiting for them on the ground and they just jumped on it...
I was just reasoning that it was 11 km longer with the same desnivel. Net altitude gain is much higher this time thoughThe average speed between the two intermediates was supposedly 68kph for the fastest riders in spite of that section featuring a climb, which leaves 22k at 38.2kph for Roglic for the remaining two sections. I have my doubts...
I'm surprised. It's a good climb but it's a Cat 2, not a super tough climb. I would think the aero bike might be more useful to these top riders.Pog is training a bike change, while Vinge and Wout are not. Would be funny if it was just to confuse Jumbo into their own bike changes.
I think TT bikes are still @ about 8kg, while the climbing bikes are 6.8kg the minimum they can be. Is it worth the lost seconds with the exchange?
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He can do a better tt than he did in Dauphine this year. Vuelta last year he was 4th on a 31k flat tt, +1.22 behind Remco.Just 2 minutes between gc riders? Rodriguez is completly screwed because he will be caught. These are good news to Pogacar, he will have a target.
I don't remember who it was, but the aero bike is so much more aero than a road bike you need to be climbing at like 7% or more to get a benefit from being on a road bike.I'm surprised. It's a good climb but it's a Cat 2, not a super tough climb. I would think the aero bike might be more useful to these top riders.
It must be that Pog doesn't feel comfortable riding uphill on the tt bike. Surely they have tested both options during the recon earlier this summer to see which suits him best.I'm surprised. It's a good climb but it's a Cat 2, not a super tough climb. I would think the aero bike might be more useful to these top riders.
Both are correct but the y-axes are obviously very different.![]()
Ok, which profile is accurate? The one in OP looks way too easy.
But it was a really fast TT and he still was more than 2 kph slower than Remco. And another thing very important, spanish riders seems to step up his game in Spain when they have to do a TT. If he is 2 kph slower than Pogi, he will lose 2 minutes because this is a MTT so speed will be low and gaps will be larger. Of course his TT ability is a bit of unknown to us but if he doesn't have a good day on the bike, he can definetly be surpassed.He can do a better tt than he did in Dauphine this year. Vuelta last year he was 4th on a 31k flat tt, +1.22 behind Remco.
And now he has a podium spot to fight for.
Pog maight catch him but I think Rodriguez makes it by 17s.![]()