Tour de France Tour de France 2024: Stage 14: Pau - Saint-Lary-Soulan Pla d’Adet 151.9km

Stage 14: Pau - Saint-Lary-Soulan Pla d’Adet​

Almost two-thirds of the way into the race, we arrive at the first MTF. For the last Tour that had its first MTF this late, we need to go back to 2006 if we don’t consider Pla de Beret (KOM at 2k to go) a MTF, and to the awful 1992 route if we do – but of course, we won’t hear the cycling media about that when they do their annual talking up the route spiel. The stage itself is… fine, I guess, just don’t expect much before the MTF.

The route

f96ac


99306


Zero transfer overnight, so instead of talking about the stage start, we can jump straight into the action for once. The first half of the stage is flat, the most prominent stopoff being Lourdes, living proof that all you need to prosper as a city is one person convincing the world an important religious figure has appeared to them.

At the stage’s approximate midpoint, there is the intermediate sprint, in Esquièze-Sère.

E5LpvMl.png


This village borders Luz-Saint-Sauveur, and that can only mean one thing: time to head up one of ASO’s three favourite climbs. With neither the super-mediocre nor the Alp of alcohol abuse appearing this year, it was inevitable. Now, I know I said this last year too, but this time round, major GC action here really is as likely as me climbing it on a unicycle.

BTE_TOURMALET_luzSTsauveur-scaled.jpg


After a long descent, the riders reach the easiest climb of the day, Hourquette d’Anzican from the lesser side.

AncizanW.gif


Following the descent and a short valley section, it’s time for a MTF I didn’t expect to see ever again. No, it’s not as big a surprise as Puy de Dôme last year, but when you’ve introduced Col de Portet (which is in the same ski resort, the same municipality, and follows the same road up to Espiaube, at almost 1500 metres), it’s rather weird to regress to the classic Pla d’Adet when that climb is barely half the difficulty. It becomes stranger still when you aren’t designing the stage for long-range action anyway.

Just like in the old days, the MTF is a rather overcategorised HC. This will be its eleventh inclusion in the Tour, and the first since 2014 (victory for Rafal Majka). The most famous stage to finish here is surely that of 1976, when Lucien Van Impe was forced into a long-range attack on Peyresourde by his illustrious DS Cyrille Guimard, who threatened to run him off the road if he stayed put. It won him that Tour, which remains the last Belgian victory.

The route deviates slightly from the profile below towards the end, taking a different, longer, but more irregular approach for its final 1.5 kilometres.

pladadetperfil.png


Ae9MJTf.png


I’ve kind of exhausted things to talk about where Pla d’Adet is concerned, and Saint-Lary-Soulan isn’t really noteworthy outside of mountain and spa tourism (and of course cycling), so I guess I’ll wrap this post up with a picture of the town taken from the road up to the MTF.

Village_de_Saint-Lary-Soulan.JPG


What to expect?

Hotly-anticipated answers in the GC battle, but it would take a truly thermonuclear attack to strike a decisive blow here…
 
Will be hard for Pogacar and Vingegaard to drop each other here, which in turn should help Evenepoel to stay close. The rest of the field is in Metallica hit territory.
I‘m half expecting Pogačar to attack stupidly and get countered, but I agree that this is the most likely option. Of course Vingegaard could also try turning into Robobasso and grind everybody off his wheel, but I don‘t think he‘s that desperate yet.
 
Well, Aspin is lower and further away from Pla d‘Adet, so I don‘t think it‘s better.
Ancizan is the best option if you want to include Tourmalet and do the bare minimum.

If you want an additional climb, Aspin & Azet instead would be better. Aspin & Lançon would also be good. You can even go Aspin > Lançon > Azet, but I think that would be way over ASO's mountain budget.
 
If not for a couple days ago this stage would have had a higher chance for big GC action but I expect UAE to race defensively and the others will have to make a difference. Starting to be Remco’s turn to prove himself. Vingegaard will probably prefer stage 15 to go all out but might already gain a bit of time tomorrow.
 
Think Pog would be perfectly fine with that scenario. Now its basically Jonas and Visma on the offensive, and the moment he makes a mistakes and gets overconfident, Pog will counter
vingegaard has no balls think the peloton lack of respect for him is evident so I dont really care what he does win or lose he still lose.

Remco to suprise again

The golden boy to blow everyone up.

Songs will be written, tales will be told
 
Think Pog would be perfectly fine with that scenario. Now its basically Jonas and Visma on the offensive, and the moment he makes a mistakes and gets overconfident, Pog will counter
He should be fine with it, but I don't think he will be. His insecurity after being beaten by Vingegaard had him prove today how well he can sprint, despite the risk of it if he had been one meter to his left when the crash happened.

On Plateau de Beille, there won't be any counter.
 
  • Wow
Reactions: SHAD0W93
He should be fine with it, but I don't think he will be. His insecurity after being beaten by Vingegaard had him prove today how well he can sprint, despite the risk of it if he had been one meter to his left when the crash happened.

On Plateau de Beille, there won't be any counter.
I don’t think sprinting today had to do with Jonas beating him 2 days ago, this was just a classic Pog move for better or worse.
 
Break takes the stage, Remco with a bad day and drops another minute, Jonas drops Pog for the first time this Tour, but takes not more than 20 seconds.
I wouldn't be surprised if Remco dropped somewhere close to a minute, but not sure I'd necessarily call that a bad day. If guys behind him only drop 15 secs, sure. But what's been happening is that whatever time Remco ships, those behind him ship more.

Will tomorrow be any different?
 
  • Like
Reactions: gregrowlerson

TRENDING THREADS