Tour de France Tour de France 2024: Stage 19: Embrun - Isola 2000, 19/07 144.6k

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I'm guessing Yates for the win, Carapaz seemed energetic yesterday.

I think any of Yates, Jorgenson, Hindley and Carapaz "could" win if UAE dont drill it... Hindley probably least likely on form but going to be interesting tactically in terms of break... especially in terms of WTF to Visma do depending on situation behind.

I would still bet on either a Vingo, Evanepoel or Pogi attack tbh up Isola and if one gets some ground then the other two win hammer the chase.

It is 16km uphill at 7% or so, so 4 minutes is not "safe" going off the mutants performances so far, but ofc it depends what happens.
 
Been too busy reading hype about Cîme de la Bonette du Restefond climb that, but a symptom, not only on this forum. I dunno what ppl expected with stage designs as those and present state of affairs Pogi/UAE vs. Jonas/Visma vs. Remco/QS? Nothing quite has surprised me yet, except UAE maybe fiddling a tad more than I'd expected, but still clever tactics.
Apart from that almost Gordian knot to untie for Visma, if they should have had it all with a coup and believed that Jonas could punch away from Pogi from far out up La Bonette with the two strongest riders to pull him full gas to the bottom of the final climb. That might have been the logics last year, or before Jonas' crash (or rather before we knew about Pogi's present building on his strength, stamina and awareness of staying cold on a hot day).
With stages like today you cannot bet on action but if there is then the stage design have a potential to make it epic. For me what happend on Bonette was the most likely outcome but if Vingegaard had felt good and sensed an opportunity they atleast would have tried. For instance there was action on CdFere before Alpe 2015 even if it went back altogether as expected in the valley.
 
Exactly right, Vingegaard attacking might be great for us the viewers on our sofas, but from his and Vismas point of view it would be kamikaze stuff unless he is confident of dropping Pogacar. And there has been no evidence during the last 3 weeks that he is capable of doing this, least of all with him surrounded by 4 mountain doms.
Kamikaze or not, how else is he gonna win the Tour?
 
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