Tour de France Tour de France 2024, Stage 7: Nuits-Saint-Georges > Gevrey-Chambertin, 25.3 km (ITT)

[Nick2413]

Sticking with my 'tour de Happiness' mantra, I'd wager Kung or Jonas has this. Either way, Jonas will be in yellow by over a minute.

I admire your belief in miracles but I hope you’re not putting money on it.

 

[Cookster15]

I think Remco might win this with Pogacar close. A 30 second gap back to Vingegaard.

I also expect strong rides from Ayuso and Almeida.

The wildcard is Roglic. I hope he has a strong ride to finish close but just don't feel confident to predict him.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

Most squirrels do not collect nuts at night... because they're diurnal, not nocturnal. It means they go to bed like humans.

So no sex, huh.

 

[QueenStagiaire]

Let me put my expectations like this: If I can buy a 40" time loss for Vingegaard to Pogi before the stage, I'll gladly take it.

Funny thing is the Pogačar fans would also buy this. If you could sell 40 second time losses, you‘d have quite the successful business.

 

[Ilmaestro99]

As a Landa fan I would spend a lot for a 40 seconds time loss, it's true.

 

[Berniece]

When it comes to the big 4, I think it’ll be:

1. Evenepoel - 0:00
2. Pogacar - 0:18
3. Roglic - 0:32
4. Vingegaard - 0:52

 

[Krzysztof_O]

Less than 20 seconds between Remco and Tadej. Remco is favoured more on this route but I feel that Tadej will have a spectacular performance, can he beat the World Champion?

 

[Froome]

Let me put my expectations like this: If I can buy a 40" time loss for Vingegaard to Pogi before the stage, I'll gladly take it.

Losing 40 s in 25 km would be very alarming in terms of the shape of Vingegaard, since in 2021 when Vingegaard wasn't as good as he is, he just lost 27 s in the first TT of 27 km.

 

[Froome]

Less than 20 seconds between Remco and Tadej. Remco is favoured more on this route but I feel that Tadej will have a spectacular performance, can he beat the World Champion?

The route is not that great for Remco. I checked the route on Google maps, and between the km 8 and km 19, there is a climb, plus the tricky and technical descent on a very wide road.
There is also some technical parts in the beggining and in the end of the ITT.
The gaps will be small, yeah, certainly less than 20 s.

 

[solo80k]

There Will Be Carnage 🫣

Pogacar
Remco +25"
Ayuso + 45"
Jonas + 55"
Almeida + 1'10"
Roglic + 1'15"

 

[svit]

Roglič
Pogacar +25''
Remco +25"
Ayuso + 55"
Jonas + 1:15"
Almeida + 1'20"

 

[Escarabajo]

Pogi will win this one.

 

[Barnacle Bill]

Prediction: "Tadej, today you show the world who's the strongest"

 

[SHAD0W93]

Either Evenepoel or Pogacar to win, I think Evenepoel but Pog could gain some time from the climb and descent.

I think the rest of the GC will go; Roglic, Almeida/Ayuso/Vingegaard, C Rod, Adam, Landa, and everyone else.

 

[durtyfat7]

How much time do you think Landa will lose to the likes of Remco/Pogacar?
It would be great if he can only lose 1min/1min15, but I doubt it.

 

[QueenStagiaire]

so your a vingegaard fan is that what your saying?

Uh yes, but he‘s Danish, so it‘s a hereditary disease.

 

[FroomeWagon]

Odds to win according to bookies:

Remco 4 to 9
Pogi 3 to 1
Ayuso 16 to 1
Vingo 20 to 1
Roglic, Kung, WVA 22 to 1
Almedia 33 to 1

 

[Berniece]

How much time do you think Landa will lose to the likes of Remco/Pogacar?
It would be great if he can only lose 1min/1min15, but I doubt it.

3 minutes probably

 

[durtyfat7]

3 minutes probably

No way he lose 3min in a 25km route,

 

[jaylew]

My go at a top 10:

Pog
Remco
Roglic
Ayuso
WVA
Vingegaard
Kuhn
Almeida
Jorgenson
Bettiol

 

[red_flanders]

...plus the tricky and technical descent on a very wide road.

How is a very wide road tricky and technical? Hard to get my head around that...

 

[Berniece]

No way he lose 3min in a 25km route,

True, bit of an exaggeration. He lost 2:38 in Dauphine which was 34km’s, but with more vertical meters. So let’s say 1:45-2:00

 

[RobertCrawley]

L'épreuve de vérité. Yes it is.

 

[Poursuivant]

Pog
Remco +10
Vingo +27
S Yates +45
Ayuso +58

 

[willbick]

i think tomorrow we will see the result of Ving's long lay-off. He probably has barely ridden his TT bike in months and said he hasn't even been able to do an in-person recon of the course. At this level you don't suddenly produce a world-class TT result after little to no preparation. I think he will be a long way off the winning time