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Tour de France Tour de France 2024, Stage 7: Nuits-Saint-Georges > Gevrey-Chambertin, 25.3 km (ITT)

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I think Vingegaard will be fine tomorrow, but i'm concerned with the setup ITT of Visma. I hope they improved the equipment.
Vingegaard said or was it his trainer that they had not been able to train on the explosive. they had to make choices. this is also the reason why Vingegaard kept losing meter by meter in the uphill bends. I think it looks good uphill. but on the flat and downhill it seems like it doesn't have enough power yet. you saw this after the real descent of the galibier where he lost a lot of time.
 
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Fully expect Jorgenson to catch Gall though.

I would honestly be shocked if anyone other than Remco won. I think that if anyone might be able to do it, it's Pogacar, but let's not overrate Pogacar in flat TTs too much. Ganna pretty much had his number on the flat during the Giro and I think Remco is at least on that level. He has looked phenomenal so far so I would be surprised by anything but a brilliant TT from him.
It's not a flat ITT. And the descent is not one where Evenepoel will gain any time, to put it that way. I get the steep part of the hill to 1.3 km at ~6.9 %.

YtdCkpw.png
 
It's not a flat ITT. And the descent is not one where Evenepoel will gain any time, to put it that way. I get the steep part of the hill to 1.3 km at ~6.9 %.

YtdCkpw.png
Well 1. a TT with one 1.3 km at 7% hill is pretty much a flat TT and 2. Evenepoel isn't Ganna either. I wouldn't expect a rider climbing as well as Evenepoel to lose much time there. The descent worried me initially but I think it's not overly technical, right?
 
The ITT looks interesting based on a few profiles which make it look punchy & technical, but I won't get my hopes up.

Is this town named after St. George's nuts?

It's named after St George's nights. Does that make it better?

Most squirrels do not collect nuts at night... because they're diurnal, not nocturnal. It means they go to bed like humans.

I don't know what that has to do with St George either but I just wanted to add something to the conversation.
 
If Gouvenou didn't Gouvenou, this stage would be far more important as it would be a proper length TT.

End of first week ITTs should be at least 50 kms

So what if Remco would go full Indurain at Luxembourg or Ullrich in the MTT in 1997. The Pog would have to attack in the high mountains and we'd see a better TDF
Pog and Jonas will attack in the high mountains. That's what they do.
 
So finally the first TT. One of two key stages of the first week. Generally fast TT but with an uphill section in the middle. Slightly under 30 minutes of effort for top guys. No holding back, a bit above the threshold all the time.

What to expect? Remco and Wout are natural candidates for victory. Remco is obviously in great form, maybe it will be his TT? The relative performance of GC guys is the most interesting thing here. I'm expecting Teddy to have a very strong performance as well, he can be close to Remco. Those two guys should IMO put time into other GC candidates but how much? Maybe 30-40 seconds to the best of the rest (Vingo, Rogla, Ayuso?). Pogacar, who looks the strongest in this part of the race, definitely needs to gain time over Vingo and stay close to Remco as well. Should be interesting.
What about Ayuso ? He won already 3 TT and is also in great form, as we could see on Galibier. Maybe able to finish third or fourth. Almeida is also a good TT-rider, a bit less than Ayuso. He did won the TT in the Tour de Suisse (but a semi-climbing TT).
 
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