Tour de France Tour de France 2025 Stage 11: Toulouse – Toulouse (156.8k)

[Sciatic]

Why are EF punished for leading the race?

Well I don’t think they mind the exposure for a few stages, but the “punishment” reference is having to work at the front and control the break/defend yellow.

 

[Leinster]

Quinn Simmons, Ben O’Connor, Storer, Martinez to all be in the break and fight it out for the win.

 

[Moose McKnuckles]

I want to see Wout and Mathieu in the break tomorrow.

 

[E_F_]

Just like they could've and should've in Rouen Jorgenson and Vingegaard should do a long range attack from a downhill leadout by Campenaerts. But they won't. I'm sure Jonas will finish just behind Tadej.

 

[Gigs_98]

It's almost impossible to imagine MvdP not attacking on the final climb which might actually make this stage more gc relevant than all those seemingly harder hilly stages in the first week.

 

[Earns1985]

So which teams could have an interest, that this will not go to the breakaway?
If it would come to a sprint of a reduced group, van der Poel, van Aert, Pogacar and an in-form Nys could still be there. If no team is drilling the climbs, it would also be possible, that guys like Girmay, de Lie or even Milan could survive the climbs.

I think it´s pretty sure, that Visma and UAE will not chase the breakaway as their focus in on thursday. I think it´s also likely, that no one out of the GC contenders will try a hard attack on the last hill as most of them will save their energy for the next day. So the possibility, that guys like Nys, Girmay, de Lie or Milan could survive such a climb is higher than at stage 2, 4 or 6.
So question is, if teams like Alpecin, Intermarche, Lidl or Lotto will try to control it or not.
In my eyes, they will not try to control it and instead will send promising riders in the break. But I could be wrong...

 

[noob]

OMG I finally realized I was watching yesterday stage. I've been wondering why everything looked like yesterday and why the race thread was so inactive. It's rest day

 

[SHAD0W93]

I think this is a day for MVDP in the break but not winning from it. If all the teams don’t put a rider(s) in the break that’s their loss.

 

[wansteadimp]

So which teams could have an interest, that this will not go to the breakaway?
If it would come to a sprint of a reduced group, van der Poel, van Aert, Pogacar and an in-form Nys could still be there. If no team is drilling the climbs, it would also be possible, that guys like Girmay, de Lie or even Milan could survive the climbs.

I think it´s pretty sure, that Visma and UAE will not chase the breakaway as their focus in on thursday. I think it´s also likely, that no one out of the GC contenders will try a hard attack on the last hill as most of them will save their energy for the next day. So the possibility, that guys like Nys, Girmay, de Lie or Milan could survive such a climb is higher than at stage 2, 4 or 6.
So question is, if teams like Alpecin, Intermarche, Lidl or Lotto will try to control it or not.
In my eyes, they will not try to control it and instead will send promising riders in the break. But I could be wrong...

Ineos to be active and try to thin it down for Laurence? Obviously no chance - they'll sit there and do nothing.

 

[Kedjan]

Wout doesn't have that many chances left to win a stage. He will definately try to go in the break tomorrow.
That last climb is steep, but it tops 7-8k from the finish, so there is a possibilty he can come back if he is dropped.

Would be nice to see both MVDP and Wout in the break.

My bet is Romain Gregoire.

 

[KZD]

The stage only has 1750 meters of elevation so I think this is a stage for the 'versatile sprinters', Van der Poel, Van Aert, Girmay and De Lie should be contesting this stage, whether it will be from the peloton or breakaway it remains to be seen.

Van Aert to take the stage.

 

[hayneplane]

So which teams could have an interest, that this will not go to the breakaway?
If it would come to a sprint of a reduced group, van der Poel, van Aert, Pogacar and an in-form Nys could still be there. If no team is drilling the climbs, it would also be possible, that guys like Girmay, de Lie or even Milan could survive the climbs.

I think it´s pretty sure, that Visma and UAE will not chase the breakaway as their focus in on thursday. I think it´s also likely, that no one out of the GC contenders will try a hard attack on the last hill as most of them will save their energy for the next day. So the possibility, that guys like Nys, Girmay, de Lie or Milan could survive such a climb is higher than at stage 2, 4 or 6.
So question is, if teams like Alpecin, Intermarche, Lidl or Lotto will try to control it or not.
In my eyes, they will not try to control it and instead will send promising riders in the break. But I could be wrong...

Based on Stage 10 then Girmay might survive if no huge attacks from top 10 GC riders or MVDP.

Is this a 50 point stage for Green?


Gregoire, Hirschi, Alaphillipe, Asgreen (if not stuck on team duty) should be viewing this as their best chance of the race for a stage win from the break.

 

[Heston]

I really dont see any sprinters surviving. The last climb is equivalent to Mur de Huy.

Break should have it.

 

[Cookster15]

Perfect stage for the break to prevail. Hopefully Alaphillipe does something. Also interested to see how Ben Healy goes. But not sure a Voeckler 2011 situation will be allowed.

 

[pman]

Well designed stage, I can't imagine GC guys going for it but who know, given how Jumbo has raced things so far. Personally, I'd ride if I was Jumbo, simply to attack with Matteo and try and bait Pog into following and tire him out for what might be the two most important stages in the race the following two stages.

 

[pman]

Toulouse should be a big winner tomorrow. Sounds like a gorgeous city, it's one of those stages I am looking forward to just watching visually. I imagine tourism will see a spike there after the stage.

 

[Lequack]

Unfortunately Remco has transferred to the Visma LAB team during the rest day. He now rides for Vinge

 

[pman]

Remco has transferred to the Visma LAB team during the rest day.

Haha. Remco and Plugge don't mix.

 

[QueenStagiaire]

Unfortunately Remco has transferred to the Visma LAB team during the rest day. He now rides for Vinge

Looks more like he‘s transferred to Footon-Servetto 15 years after the team‘s demise.

 

[YavorD]

Unfortunately Remco has transferred to the Visma LAB team during the rest day. He now rides for Vinge

Heard he is on a balls comparing mission.
We are yet to learn the result however.

 

[QueenStagiaire]

Unfortunately Remco has transferred to the Visma LAB team during the rest day. He now rides for Vinge

Why is he wearing long sleeves? Covering his aero skin so he doesn‘t drop the others? Or heat training for Thursday?

 

[Didinho]

Mathieu got the combative award for the first week. I imagine him trying for the break again in some stages to get on the podium in Paris, starting with tomorrow. Don’t think many teams will work in the peloton.

 

[King Of The Wolds]

Quinn Simmons, Ben O’Connor, Storer, Martinez to all be in the break and fight it out for the win.

O'C, Storer, Martinez will do well to get the break. First half is all rouleur territory.

 

[King Of The Wolds]

Well designed stage, I can't imagine GC guys going for it but who know, given how Jumbo has raced things so far. Personally, I'd ride if I was Jumbo, simply to attack with Matteo and try and bait Pog into following and tire him out for what might be the two most important stages in the race the following two stages.

You know it's a well designed stage when everyone has a different opinion on how it's going to pan out. Agreed 👍

 

[Lequack]

Kittel has some words for the sprinters

https://twitter.com/x/status/1945211771335131286

View: https://x.com/SBSSportau/status/1945211771335131286