I read Armstrong's new complaint and actually thought it had merit. It might have had more merit had it been submitted the first time, but still it makes some strong arguments.
I mean, as I read it he is stating essentially that USADA doesn't have jurisdiction for various reasons, and, further (this assertion notwithstanding), that he is being asked to submit his entire professional life, past, present, and future, as well as his livelihood, to an administrative procedure that was not designed for this purpose, but rather was designed for adjudicating positive doping tests. Armstrong is saying there is no positive doping test and in any case this procedure doesn't allow for the due process he plainly has a right to given the nature and scope of such a charge against him, as well as the profoundly adverse consequences for him and his family in the event he doesn't prevail.
Basically, he's saying as I read it that the deck is stacked against him and the procedure unlikely to render a fair hearing, or a fair outcome.
I think there is plenty in here that would permit the judge to grant relief, if he is at all inclined to. On the other hand, the judge could make a case for not granting relief, too.
I think (or guess, rather) that the judge will let matters proceed, with the proviso that LA can bring the matter to court later should it not go in his favor. (Which of course it won't.)
Then will come the qui tam case, followed by criminal prosecution, both on the state level (perjury) and the federal level (everything else).
I'll bet they'd love to have a new cycling school in Venezuela.